The Last Mile will be Wireless
By Arnold Kling
Google Inc. unveiled the latest such effort Friday with a proposal to provide free, wireless high-speed Internet access in the city of San Francisco. The service would allow users to bypass fee-based connections of cable and local phone companies in favor of wireless links…
“I believe that free voice is going to be ubiquitous not in 10 years; within two or three years,” News Corp.’s Rupert Murdoch told a Goldman Sachs investor conference last month.
This is consistent with what I wrote over three years ago.
Moore’s Law ultimately will favor shared-spectrum wireless as the solution for last mile connectivity. Today, I am typing this out on my porch, using a laptop that connects wirelessly to a router in my basement, which in turn connects to the local phone company by DSL. My prediction is that eventually I will skip the DSL part, and instead my wireless connection will go to a local wireless network of some sort, and then ultimately to a transmitter on the Internet backbone. The communication network will have a fiber skeleton and a wireless skin. Telephone land lines will be superfluous.
For me, the best part of not having to pay for phone service would be not having all those random taxes on my phone bill.