A year ago I challenged EconLog readers to make unconditional predictions about the Ukraine conflict:

Challenge: In the comments, go on the record and predict what will
actually come of the emerging Ukrainian-Russian conflict.  Only
unconditional, falsifiable predictions count.  No claims like: “Unless
the EU acts…” “If Russia comes to its senses…” or “This will be a
very different world.”  Make specific claims about what will actually
happen by a specific date.

In a year I’ll revisit your comments and rank their accuracy with the benefit of hindsight.

Before I carry out the promised ranking, this is what’s actually seems to have happened:

Anyone seriously dispute any of these facts?  Any major facts I’m omitting?