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Cost-benefit Analysis

Government Performance Effectiveness

By Arnold Kling | May 21, 2003

Ted Balaker links to this analysis by the Office of Management and Budget of the effectiveness of government programs. Demanding that programs prove results in order to earn financial support, however obvious and sensible, marks a dramatic departure from past practice. No one has asked about the extent to which Elderly Housing Grants help the .. MORE

Institutional Economics

Institutional Survival

By Arnold Kling | May 20, 2003

Henry Farrell argues against the view that institutions must reduce transactions costs in order to survive. there are an awful lot of institutional arrangements out there that demonstrably have very little to do with efficiency or transaction cost reduction, and an awful lot to do with furthering the interests of social elites. Just look at .. MORE

Regulation and Subsidies

Regulatory Tariffs Vs. Quotas

By Arnold Kling | May 20, 2003

Reason Foundation’s Ted Balaker sees a libertarian silver lining in the cloud of state government budget deficits. After all, some states are now eyeing legalized gambling as a new cash cow. Maybe the next step will be to legalize – and tax – marijuana. It is a well-known proposition in international trade that trade quotas .. MORE

Public Choice Theory

Government Overgrowth, II

By Arnold Kling | May 19, 2003

Was the stock market boom good for New York? Not according to Megan McArdle, otherwise known as ‘Jane Galt’. in an era of prosperity, city spending grew an astonishing $5.6 billion, or 25% – right up to the capacity of record capital gains income and Wall Street bonuses to sustain it. Now that the money .. MORE

Optimum Currency Areas

Economic Policy Diversity

By Arnold Kling | May 19, 2003

In an essay on diversity in economic policy, I propose dividing the United States. By splitting into the virtual regions of Miltonia and Hillaria, we could run a “natural experiment” to see how things work. Perhaps after ten or twenty years, we Miltonians will come around to the point of view that “It takes a .. MORE

Economic Growth

Growth and Demographics

By Arnold Kling | May 19, 2003

Steven Nyce and Syl Schieber analyze the likelihood that the size of the labor force will start to decline in many developed countries. It now appears that many of the developed economies will experience periods in which the numbers of non-elderly will decline. Moreover, in some cases, these declines will exceed the rates of labor .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Temporary Dividend Tax Cut?

By Arnold Kling | May 16, 2003

Jacob Levy criticizes the Senate’s proposed temporary tax cut on dividends. The arguments in favor of repealing the dividend tax have to do with removing distortions from the capital markets and from the incentives faced by corporations, and with improving tranparency in corporate accounting. Removing distortions from the capital markets is a good thing for .. MORE

Behavioral Economics

Comment of the Week, 2003-05-16

By Arnold Kling | May 16, 2003

On the topic of revealed preference, David Thomson writes, Human beings are neither existentially [n]or psychologically able to endure lives of everyday indolence and unrelenting pleasure seeking. That sounds like the introductory sentence for a thesis in behavioral economics. For conventional economists, the question is whether or not you can treat people as if they .. MORE

Economics of Health Care

Economics of Obesity

By Arnold Kling | May 15, 2003

Obesity is getting increased attention from health policy experts and economists. Roger Bate writes, My analysis is preliminary and in any case proves nothing, but it is indicative that fast food has little to do with overall obesity rates. If fast food were the main cause of weight gain, we would expect to see the .. MORE

Behavioral Economics

Surveys Vs. Revealed Preference, III

By Arnold Kling | May 14, 2003

I take a skeptical view of surveys in this essay. From the standpoint of revealed preference, the [survey evidence] that income over $20,000 does not raise happiness simply falls apart. Observing the fact that even people with very high incomes choose to work, an economist would infer that for most people the point at which .. MORE

Optimum Currency Areas

Should Britain Join the Euro?

By Arnold Kling | May 14, 2003

This is a fierce debate. The partisans in favor write, By removing the barriers of separate currencies, the creation of the euro has led to a rapid increase in cross-border trade in the euro-zone. Germany’s trade with the EU has leapt from 27% of national output in 1998 to 32% in 2001. France’s trade with .. MORE

Trade Barriers

21st Century Trade Barriers

By Arnold Kling | May 13, 2003

Two stories that have been discussed recently about new variations of protectionism. One concerns the European Union’s ban on genetically modified food. This issue will be taken to the World Trade Organization by the U.S., along with other countries, including Argentina. Some 23 percent of Argentina’s farm land is sown with genetically modified seeds and .. MORE

Public Choice Theory

Government Overgrowth

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

One fascinating phenomenon is that when government grows so large and its interest groups so powerful, it threatens to crowd out the private sector. This is a concern in Israel, where a new economic plan that tries to limit government spending is meeting stiff opposition from the trade union movement, the Histadrut. Another place where .. MORE

Economics of Health Care

Sowell on Health Care

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

Thomas Sowell has an essay in three parts on the issue of universal health care coverage. In part one, he challenges politicians who continue to treat profits as evil, in spite of the superior performance of capitalism relative to socialism over the last half century. With profits eliminated, in theory there should have been lower .. MORE

International Macroeconomics

Deflation-fighting and Depreciation

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

Continuing the discussion that began with the thread Liquidity Trapped?, we can add opinions from Richard Berner of Morgan Stanley and Victor Canto of the Cato Institute. Canto writes, The data make a compelling case that we are on the verge of deflation. While no one can hold Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve solely .. MORE

Energy, Environment, Resources

California Energy Regulation

By Arnold Kling | May 8, 2003

Lynne Kiesling bemoans electricity regulation policy in California. [The original deregulation effort] was much more about freeing up restrictions on trade in wholesale electricity markets, although it did a pathetic job of that, requiring buyers and sellers to use the government-created faux market that was the Power Exchange, mandating that they engage only in day-ahead .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Liquidity Trapped?

By Arnold Kling | May 7, 2003

The threat of deflation and/or a liquidity trap has been discussed in a number of places recently. Columnist Robert J. Samuelson writes, Global demand remains weak; surplus capacity discourages new investment; gluts depress prices. Deflation could be dangerous: Lower prices could squeeze profits and depress stocks; and lower prices could prevent corporate debtors from repaying .. MORE

Austrian Economics

Comment of the Week, 2003-05-07

By Arnold Kling | May 7, 2003

In the thread about capitalism as a benevolent system, Ward mused, Maybe there should be a school of Austrian Environmentalism that studies innovative ways to clean up or maintain the environment. To which Lynn Kiesling replied, one organization that does provide insights into “Austrian entrepreneurship” applied to environmentalism is PERC: To read more of the .. MORE

Cost-benefit Analysis

Nanotech Research Funding

By Arnold Kling | May 6, 2003

Is Federal funding for research in nanotechnology justified? Declan McCullagh raises some doubts. First, private sources will pay for basic research. It may not be at the level that all researchers would prefer, but if it can lead to applied research results, the private sector will still do some of it. Second, nanotechnology includes a .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Rethinking Keynes

By Arnold Kling | May 6, 2003

In Would Keynes Change His Mind?, I suggest that some key elasticities in the economy have changed since Keynes wrote. Today, the economy is more elastic than it was in the 1930’s. Today’s recession is a far cry from the Great Depression of the 1930’s. Of course, some of this may be due to a .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Social Security Tax Cut?

By Arnold Kling | May 5, 2003

A proposal from former Labor Secretary Robert Reich: The best and the fastest way to get more money into the pockets of people who are likely to spend it quickly is to cut the taxes of average working people. Most people pay more in payroll taxes — primarily for Social Security and Medicare — than .. MORE

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