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Behavioral Economics

Comment of the Week, 2003-05-16

By Arnold Kling | May 16, 2003

On the topic of revealed preference, David Thomson writes, Human beings are neither existentially [n]or psychologically able to endure lives of everyday indolence and unrelenting pleasure seeking. That sounds like the introductory sentence for a thesis in behavioral economics. For conventional economists, the question is whether or not you can treat people as if they .. MORE

Economics of Health Care

Economics of Obesity

By Arnold Kling | May 15, 2003

Obesity is getting increased attention from health policy experts and economists. Roger Bate writes, My analysis is preliminary and in any case proves nothing, but it is indicative that fast food has little to do with overall obesity rates. If fast food were the main cause of weight gain, we would expect to see the .. MORE

Behavioral Economics

Surveys Vs. Revealed Preference, III

By Arnold Kling | May 14, 2003

I take a skeptical view of surveys in this essay. From the standpoint of revealed preference, the [survey evidence] that income over $20,000 does not raise happiness simply falls apart. Observing the fact that even people with very high incomes choose to work, an economist would infer that for most people the point at which .. MORE

Optimum Currency Areas

Should Britain Join the Euro?

By Arnold Kling | May 14, 2003

This is a fierce debate. The partisans in favor write, By removing the barriers of separate currencies, the creation of the euro has led to a rapid increase in cross-border trade in the euro-zone. Germany’s trade with the EU has leapt from 27% of national output in 1998 to 32% in 2001. France’s trade with .. MORE

Trade Barriers

21st Century Trade Barriers

By Arnold Kling | May 13, 2003

Two stories that have been discussed recently about new variations of protectionism. One concerns the European Union’s ban on genetically modified food. This issue will be taken to the World Trade Organization by the U.S., along with other countries, including Argentina. Some 23 percent of Argentina’s farm land is sown with genetically modified seeds and .. MORE

Public Choice Theory

Government Overgrowth

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

One fascinating phenomenon is that when government grows so large and its interest groups so powerful, it threatens to crowd out the private sector. This is a concern in Israel, where a new economic plan that tries to limit government spending is meeting stiff opposition from the trade union movement, the Histadrut. Another place where .. MORE

Economics of Health Care

Sowell on Health Care

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

Thomas Sowell has an essay in three parts on the issue of universal health care coverage. In part one, he challenges politicians who continue to treat profits as evil, in spite of the superior performance of capitalism relative to socialism over the last half century. With profits eliminated, in theory there should have been lower .. MORE

International Macroeconomics

Deflation-fighting and Depreciation

By Arnold Kling | May 9, 2003

Continuing the discussion that began with the thread Liquidity Trapped?, we can add opinions from Richard Berner of Morgan Stanley and Victor Canto of the Cato Institute. Canto writes, The data make a compelling case that we are on the verge of deflation. While no one can hold Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve solely .. MORE

Energy, Environment, Resources

California Energy Regulation

By Arnold Kling | May 8, 2003

Lynne Kiesling bemoans electricity regulation policy in California. [The original deregulation effort] was much more about freeing up restrictions on trade in wholesale electricity markets, although it did a pathetic job of that, requiring buyers and sellers to use the government-created faux market that was the Power Exchange, mandating that they engage only in day-ahead .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Liquidity Trapped?

By Arnold Kling | May 7, 2003

The threat of deflation and/or a liquidity trap has been discussed in a number of places recently. Columnist Robert J. Samuelson writes, Global demand remains weak; surplus capacity discourages new investment; gluts depress prices. Deflation could be dangerous: Lower prices could squeeze profits and depress stocks; and lower prices could prevent corporate debtors from repaying .. MORE

Austrian Economics

Comment of the Week, 2003-05-07

By Arnold Kling | May 7, 2003

In the thread about capitalism as a benevolent system, Ward mused, Maybe there should be a school of Austrian Environmentalism that studies innovative ways to clean up or maintain the environment. To which Lynn Kiesling replied, one organization that does provide insights into “Austrian entrepreneurship” applied to environmentalism is PERC: To read more of the .. MORE

Cost-benefit Analysis

Nanotech Research Funding

By Arnold Kling | May 6, 2003

Is Federal funding for research in nanotechnology justified? Declan McCullagh raises some doubts. First, private sources will pay for basic research. It may not be at the level that all researchers would prefer, but if it can lead to applied research results, the private sector will still do some of it. Second, nanotechnology includes a .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Rethinking Keynes

By Arnold Kling | May 6, 2003

In Would Keynes Change His Mind?, I suggest that some key elasticities in the economy have changed since Keynes wrote. Today, the economy is more elastic than it was in the 1930’s. Today’s recession is a far cry from the Great Depression of the 1930’s. Of course, some of this may be due to a .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Social Security Tax Cut?

By Arnold Kling | May 5, 2003

A proposal from former Labor Secretary Robert Reich: The best and the fastest way to get more money into the pockets of people who are likely to spend it quickly is to cut the taxes of average working people. Most people pay more in payroll taxes — primarily for Social Security and Medicare — than .. MORE

Austrian Economics

Capitalism as a Benevolent System

By Arnold Kling | May 2, 2003

Critics of capitalism see it as a cruel system that fosters injustice and exploitation. An alternative view is offered by many economists, particularly those of the Austrian School. George Reisman, for example, speaks of what he calls twelve insights into the benevolent nature of capitalism. For example, A continuing increase in the supply of economically .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Comment of the Week, 2003-04-30

By Arnold Kling | Apr 30, 2003

On the subject of job-creation arithmetic, Paul Zrimsek writes, It’s a pity that the great divide-by-ten controversy has diverted everyone’s attention from what ought to be the main point: that the comparison Krugman drew between tax losses to the government and the salaries of the created jobs is meaningless whether he’s doing the math correctly .. MORE

Efficient Markets Hypothesis

Stock Market Regulation

By Arnold Kling | Apr 29, 2003

‘Jane Galt’ casts doubt on the deterrence value of the settlement in which Wall Street investment firms agreed to pay a large fine. I don’t want this to be the opening act in some morality play, directed by Spitzer, in which the rest of America is absolved for speculating wildly on investments they don’t understand. .. MORE

Energy, Environment, Resources

Regulatory Pollution

By Arnold Kling | Apr 29, 2003

Discussing a forthcoming study of air pollution by Joel Schwartz, Ronald Bailey writes, For example, [Schwartz argues that] a proposal to raise the prices of conventional cars and use the extra money to lower the prices of electric cars—which are estimated to cost $17,000 more than conventional cars—would be counterproductive. Since new conventional cars will .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

The Budget Debate, IX

By Arnold Kling | Apr 29, 2003

Jonathan Rauch has a nice summary of the issues in the Budget debate. The economists note that if tax cuts are paid for through higher deficits instead of lower spending, the government borrows back from the economy the capital that it injects. The administration retorts that its dividend tax cut will improve the allocation of .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Spend Less on Education?

By Arnold Kling | Apr 29, 2003

Sometimes, an economist argues against conventional wisdom, as in this essay, where I question the view that the government needs to increase its spending on education. If we combine the limited extent to which education is a public good with the factors that make government the highest-cost producer, it becomes almost certain that the cost-benefit .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

Job-Creation Arithmetic, II

By Arnold Kling | Apr 28, 2003

On his web site, Paul Krugman has posted the textbook macroeconomics of fiscal policy for stimulating employment. In a related post, Krugman explains how this basic macroeconomic model explains what some people (like me, for instance) found puzzling about a recent column in the New York Times. No, I didn’t forget to divide by 10…no .. MORE