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Productivity

Productivity and Unemployment

By Arnold Kling | Sep 21, 2003

In The Labor Market Puzzle, I sketched a one-sector model in which marginal productivity was falling as average productivity was rising. This would account for a drop in employment along with higher average productivity. Paul Kasriel has a more extended description of this model. It includes basic diagrams. What do you suppose has been happening .. MORE

Human Capital

Minimum Wage and CEO Pay

By Arnold Kling | Sep 18, 2003

Marc Brazeau asks (see Steve Antler’s site), Two common arguments against raising the minimum wage are possible inflationary effects and job loss. Why aren’t these issues raised in relation to executive compensation? I think that the conventional wisdom is that inflation is determined primarily by monetary policy. I do not think that contemporary economists would .. MORE

Macroeconomics

The Two Labor Market Surveys

By Arnold Kling | Sep 18, 2003

The U.S. Department of Labor uses two different surveys of the labor market. As Alan Reynolds put it, When government officials asked people if they had a job last month, 137.6 million said “yes.” But when employers were asked, they said they had only 129.8 million on nonfarm payrolls. However, Alan Krueger says that there .. MORE

Economics of Education

Comment of the Week, 2003-09-17

By Arnold Kling | Sep 17, 2003

On the topic of college tuition, Andrew Martin writes, I disagree with the idea that tuition is high because the government helps pay for it. UNC, for an instate student is much lower than that $20 grand for the precise reason that the state funds it. However, with the budget crunch and massive expansion plans .. MORE

Economics of Education

Friedman Interview

By Arnold Kling | Sep 16, 2003

John Hawkins’ interview of Milton Friedman touches on many subjects. Friedman is not terribly worried about Social Security. we’re a very strong country, lots of able people, lots of active entrepreneurs, and so the Social Security system will be a burden, but it won’t destroy the country. I think it will be changed of course. .. MORE

Economics of Education

College Tuition

By Arnold Kling | Sep 15, 2003

Why is college tuition so high? In an essay, I argue that colleges today offer more lifestyle consumption benefits. college represents a different bundle of services than it did thirty years ago, and part of where the increase in tuition goes is to pay for this rise in aesthetics. I also question whether colleges have .. MORE

Fiscal Policy

The Budget Debate

By Arnold Kling | Sep 13, 2003

The Congressional Budget Office provides an analysis of the long-term Budget outlook. The projections also assume for analytical purposes that aggregate federal revenues will level out at 19 percent of GDP in 2020, reflecting the higher end of the range over which they have fluctuated during the post-World War II period (18 percent was the .. MORE

Information Goods, Intellectual Property

Intellectual Property

By Arnold Kling | Sep 13, 2003

N. Stephan Kinsella argues against the concept of intellectual property. On the utilitarian argument for intellectual property, he says, It is debatable whether copyrights and patents really are necessary to encourage the production of creative works and inventions, or that the incremental gains in innovation outweigh the immense costs of an IP system. On the .. MORE

Economic Growth

Economics of Reconstruction

By Arnold Kling | Sep 11, 2003

Given the situation in Iraq, an economic analysis of the problem of developing political institutions would seem timely. Tyler Cowen and Christopher J. Coyne have drafted a paper on the topic. They write, Our core thesis is the following: reconstructions go well when they succeed at turning potential games of conflict into games of coordination. .. MORE

Economics of Education

Comment of the Week, 2003-09-11

By Arnold Kling | Sep 11, 2003

On school vouchers, John Thacker wrote, Vouchers, depending on implementation, should decrease the strength of the link between housing and good schooling, since schooling would be less determined by where one lived. One would then expect the price of housing located in good school districts to fall relative to housing in less good school districts. .. MORE

International Trade

Cancun Trade Talks

By Arnold Kling | Sep 9, 2003

I’ve always thought of these world trade meetings as being no more significant than the anti-globalization protests that they spawn, but I’ll defer to others, who think that they matter. Peter Gallagher owns the issue in the blogosphere (at least from a photojournalism perspective). TechCentralStation has a forum on the topic. Ronald Bailey is doing .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Grading the President in Macro

By Arnold Kling | Sep 8, 2003

What grade should President Bush earn in macroeconomics? Brad DeLong writes, As a short-run employment- and demand-generating program, an objective grade would be a D if not an F. It was about cutting the taxes of the rich, improving incentives to save and rationalizing the taxation of capital income, and boosting the values of people’s .. MORE

Finance: stocks, options, etc.

Mortgage Depreciation

By Arnold Kling | Sep 7, 2003

With Freddie Mac, a major mortgage lender (and once my employer) gripped by scandal, it might be useful to go over some basic economics of the mortgage business. In particular, I want so describe how mortgages are a depreciating asset. To most of us, a mortgage is a liability. It is the money that we .. MORE

Supply-side Economics

Politics vs. Economics, II

By Arnold Kling | Sep 7, 2003

(Note: this continues the discussion from Politics vs. Economics.) Another topic on which politics and economics can be separated is “supply-side tax cuts.” The meaning of this phrase has changed somewhat over the years. During the Reagan era, a supply-side tax cut was a cut in tax rates that would yield an increase in tax .. MORE

Economics of Education

Two-Handed on Vouchers

By Arnold Kling | Sep 7, 2003

What would a new economics blog be without “on the one hand…on the other”? Marginal Revolution’s Tyler Cowen writes, If we are going to move forward with vouchers, I would like to know what the plan will look like, once it gets through the political meatgrinder. I don’t know any voucher proponent who has done .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Labor Market Puzzle

By Arnold Kling | Sep 7, 2003

The latest labor market data show that aggregate hours worked fell again in August. This means that LUCY, my indicator of labor capacity utilization, also dropped. The longer that this productivity-cushioned recession continues, the more of a puzzle it presents to macroeconomists. The issue is this: if productivity is rising much faster than real wages, .. MORE

Economic Growth

Politics vs. Economics

By Arnold Kling | Sep 7, 2003

On one of the comment threads, a reader asked me if I disagreed with the economics of Lawrence Kudlow. “Honestly, I never thought he had any to disagree with,” was how I began my reply. Let me revise and extend my remarks. I think that it is common to assume that there is a “conservative .. MORE

Game Theory

Economics of Content

By Arnold Kling | Sep 5, 2003

Clay Shirky writes that the Internet helps to break the link between fame and economic success for writers. For an author to be famous, many people had to have read, and therefore paid for, his or her books. Fortune was a side-effect of attaining fame. Now, with the power to publish directly in their hands, .. MORE

Income Distribution

Imputed Income

By Arnold Kling | Sep 4, 2003

Jeff Madrick discusses the work of Elizabeth Warren and Amelia Warren Tyagi on the plight of middle-class two-income families with children. what families spend a lot more on, the authors calculate, is a house in a safe neighborhood with a good school — about 70 percent more a year, discounted for inflation, for the typical .. MORE

Uncategorized

The Civility Plea

By Arnold Kling | Sep 3, 2003

‘Jane Galt’ and Kevin Drum have made “civility pleas” on their web logs. What they are saying is that people’s comments ought to treat opponents with respect. Let me add a similar plea to this blog. I’ve always felt that the stronger the case for the idea, the less need to attack the person. Calling .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Structural or Cyclical Unemployment?

By Arnold Kling | Sep 3, 2003

I continue to think that the term jobless recovery should be replaced by productivity-cushioned recession. Meanwhile, Erica L. Groshen and Simon Potter have written more about the phenomenon. we look for evidence that structural change played a dominant role in the 2001 recession. Our investigation centers on two questions: Did temporary layoffs decline relative to .. MORE

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