Nuclear Iran Bet Update Bryan Caplan By Bryan Caplan, Jul 28 2015 SHARE POST: John Podhoretz engaged my proposed nuclear Iran bet on Twitter. Highlights of the exchange: @bryan_caplan I’ll bet you but why such long odds? — John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2015 .@jpodhoretz I propose long odds because you claim very high confidence (“effectively ensures”). I don’t. — Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan) July 28, 2015 @bryan_caplan Already hedging your bet and there isn’t even one! Bock bock bock! — John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2015 .@jpodhoretz I’m not too chicken to admit my ignorance. Are you? — Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan) July 28, 2015 @bryan_caplan I’m too bored to play Twitter with you — John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2015 .@jpodhoretz Betting is a great substitute for fruitless argument. Sign here and the bet is on. — Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan) July 28, 2015 My offer remains open. And I’m happy to negotiate the terms. O ye of great knowledge, come take my money!
Jul 30 2015 EconLog An even greater stagnation Scott Sumner The government just announced revised real GDP figures for the past few years, showing even lower growth than previously estimated. I am traveling now so I'm going to estimate these growth rates w/o a calculator. Please correct me if I am wrong. Here are the new growth rates for RGDP, Q4 over Q4: 2011: 1.7% 2012:... 25 Read More
Jul 29 2015 Economic Growth Biography of Edmund Phelps David Henderson In The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, I have bios of all of the winners of the Nobel Prize in economics through 2004, technically the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. But there have been a lot of winners since then and this year I have started to catch up. As the bios are post... 8 Read More
Jul 28 2015 Behavioral Economics Nuclear Iran Bet Update Bryan Caplan John Podhoretz engaged my proposed nuclear Iran bet on Twitter. Highlights of the exchange:@bryan_caplan I'll bet you but why such long odds?-- John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2015 .@jpodhoretz I propose long odds because you claim very high confidence ("effectively ensures"). I don't.-- Bryan Caplan (@bry... 18 Read More