Moneyball: "Your gut makes mistakes and makes them all the time."
By Bryan Caplan
I’m no sports fan, but as a betting man, Moneyball intrigued me. I thought the ending dragged, but the peaks were high. My favorite (from the shooting script, so the final scene may be a little different):
Grady, you don’t have special powers. You don’t have the ability to look at a guy and “just know” because you’re a scout with special powers. Your gut makes mistakes and makes them all the time. I’ve watched you sit at kitchen tables for years and tell the parents of a 17 year old kid, “Trust me, when I know, I know, and when it comes to your son, I know” and you don’t. It’s mythology.
My biggest question after the movie: How good is the statistical evidence that teams that embraced sabermetrics won more games as a result?