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People conspire all the time. Firms collude. Politicians bargain behind closed doors. Militaries deceive their enemies. But other conspiracies are detected, or they do not last long. Why do some remain secret while others are revealed? A simple game theory model can help illustrate that the probability of a conspiracy being revealed depends on the .. MORE
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In the last thirty years or so, the United States has seen persistent shortages of housing, waste disposal facilities, electricity generation, and oil refineries. More recently, we have begun to see the difficulties in building data centers, portending new shortages. This is confusing in a wealthy nation. A “shortage” occurs when there is too little .. MORE
Sam's Links
Sam Enright works on innovation policy at Progress Ireland, an independent policy think tank in Dublin, and runs a publication called The Fitzwilliam. Most relevant to us, on his personal blog, he writes a popular link roundup; what follows is an abridged version of his Links for July. Blogs and short links 1. Questions that .. MORE
Game Theory
People conspire all the time. Firms collude. Politicians bargain behind closed doors. Militaries deceive their enemies. But other conspiracies are detected, or they do not last long. Why do some remain secret while others are revealed? A simple game theory model can help illustrate that the probability of a conspiracy being revealed depends on the .. MORE
Liberty
I. Atlas Shrugged in Brazil In 1988, when I was 27 years old, I read Ayn Rand for the first time. It was her novel Atlas Shrugged, in its just-released Portuguese edition. At that time, I already considered myself a sort of classical liberal, but my superficial knowledge of political philosophy, among many other gaps .. MORE
Labor Market
In the good old days, dump trucks came in one discrete unit. Nowadays, they pull trailers with as much cubic space as themselves. Once upon a time, buses, too, were constituted in a fairly modest vehicle. Today, they are double their previous size. Half as many drivers are now required to pilot these roadway behemoths. .. MORE
Trade and Exchange
In their textbook, Modern Principles of Economics, Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok ask what happens when Walmart buys toys from a Chinese supplier. I decided to test this once by going to my local Walmart and buying an action figure of All Elite Wrestling’s Brody King, which is part of the Jazwares “Unrivaled” collection and .. MORE
Tariffs
A May 29 article in the IMF’s F&D Magazine argues in favor of using U.S. tariffs as a policy tool. It begins by questioning the argument for free trade, claiming that economists have based U.S. and global trade policy on theoretical models rather than empirical evidence: “Tariffs were not tried and found wanting but rejected .. MORE
Adam Smith
Someone asked recently what would change as a result of the world being plunged into a trade war by the Rose Garden tariffs. I quipped that either Adam Smith would be proved wrong or we’d all get poorer. (This is also true of the scaled-back tariffs, which still leave American tariffs higher than they’ve been .. MORE
Economic Theory
Each semester that I teach Principles of Microeconomics, I have some variation of this question on my exams: “Joe works at the local supermarket. One day, he says to you: ‘On Monday, we were selling oranges for $0.75 each and we sold 200 that day. On Friday, oranges were $1.00 and we sold 400 that .. MORE
Beginning on July 1, 2020, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) superseded the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) as the trade deal among the three countries.1 Unlike NAFTA, which only included a transparency provision, the USMCA contains specific measures aimed at fighting corruption. This addition demonstrates a shared commitment among the participating nations to enhance .. MORE
President Donald Trump tells us we are “getting killed on trade”1 and stresses the country’s trade deficit. As a piece of language, however, “trade deficit” is almost as misleading as “getting killed on trade.” “Deficit,” like “getting killed,” has a negative valence, but it is phony. In a trade, one thing—a good or service—is exchanged .. MORE
DURING the last decade it has been the fashion to talk of the Manchester School with pity or contempt as of an almost extinct sect, well adapted, no doubt, for the commercial drudgery of a little, early Victorian England, but utterly unfitted to meet the exigencies or satisfy the demands of a moving Imperialism. Many .. MORE
Adam Smith’s An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations was first published in 1776. This edition of Smith’s work is based on Edwin Cannan’s careful 1904 compilation (Methuen and Co., Ltd) of Smith’s fifth edition of the book (1789), the final edition in Smith’s lifetime. Cannan’s preface and introductory remarks .. MORE
I agree with your assessment. At some intuitive level I think everyone should understand it. Who doesn't know a couple who had a nasty break up over their partner cheating on them? They can get..
steve, August 25