
With Minnesota in the news, I was reminded of how much American politics has changed during my lifetime. In the 1984 election, Minnesota was the only blue state. That’s partly because Walter Mondale was from Minnesota, but not entirely. In the 1988 election, the Dems won Minnesota by 7 points vs. only 4 points in New York, while California actually went red.
Millennial readers might be shocked to know that Iowa was the second bluest state in the 1988 election, behind only highly Catholic Rhode Island. Dukakis actually did better in Iowa than in his home state of Massachusetts. In 2016, Trump won Iowa by a landslide, and came very close to winning Minnesota. In a political sense, Iowa is like Minnesota if you removed the Twin Cities metro area.
During my lifetime, American politics has been buffeted by many changes. Whites living in the South and in smaller towns in the North have switched on mass to the GOP, while whites in big metro areas have moved strongly toward the Democrats. Because I left Wisconsin in 1981, I no longer know my own state. Now when I read articles about Wisconsin politics it’s as if I’m reading about some exotic place like Turkmenistan. I don’t recognize the place that banned the death penalty 100 years before Britain and France and was a leader of the “progressive” movement in the early 1900s.
What will American politics look like in 2070?
PS. Highway 61 runs up the Mississippi River, through Iowa, Wisconsin and Minnesota. Its more famous southern end is the home of blues music.
READER COMMENTS
Daniel Klein
May 31 2020 at 2:07pm
On the whole, by and large, which party is the lesser evil?
Tom DeMeo
Jun 1 2020 at 12:57pm
The evil is in your question. Those two evil parties aren’t happening to us. They are us. If they are that bad, it’s because we screwed up.
Scott Sumner
Jun 1 2020 at 1:11pm
I’d say that my home state tends to go with the more evil party, at any given point in time.
Alan Goldhammer
May 31 2020 at 2:45pm
… and of course the Dylan album of the same name that included the iconic ‘Like a Rolling Stone’ and ‘Desolation Row.’
Scott Sumner
May 31 2020 at 2:49pm
Fourth best album of all time? I can’t think of three better ones.
Mark Brophy
Jun 3 2020 at 11:16am
Who’s Next, Abbey Road, Dark Side of the Moon.
Chris
May 31 2020 at 3:20pm
But why would you expect to be able to recognize the Wisconsin you left in 1981? That was 39 years ago. Somebody in 1981 wouldn’t have recognized the Wisconsin they left in 1942 either. (Or 1942 vs. 1903, etc.). To paraphrase No Country For Old Men: What you describe ain’t nothin’ new.
Roger McKinney
Jun 1 2020 at 8:13pm
Classical liberalism had almost disappeared in the US by 1970. We’ve made a significant revival since.
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Pierre Lemieux
Jun 1 2020 at 9:19pm
Very interesting, Scott. Just a little disagreement: instead of Turkmenistan, I would have chosen Kafiristan—“even if [on the map] it’s all blank where Kafiristan is.” The delicious French translation (Mercure de France, 1901) says: “même s’il y a un blanc à la place du Kafiristan.”
Scott Sumner
Jun 2 2020 at 1:56pm
Pierre, Thanks. I haven’t read that yet, but they made a very fine movie out of it.
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