By Arnold Kling
In this essay, I argue that
what I call the Law of Proportionate Belief…states that one should believe in a certain proposition or policy prescription in proportion to the arguments for that position.
…What I most despair of is finding a politician who follows the Law of Proportionate Belief. Even a Senator Kerry, who appears to see both sides of many issues, ends up speaking arrogantly (“I’m gonna give you health care.”) Anyone with humility seems to be selected against in the world of politics.
For Discussion. How strongly should one believe in the Law of Proportionate Belief?