Monetary Contraction Update
Since the start of September, the greenback is up 19% against the Brazilian real, 18% against the South African rand and nearly 9% against the Korean won. It’s up more than 7.5% against the Indian rupee.
Which is what a monetarist would expect if U.S. monetary policy were contractionary. Don’t tell Scott Sumner about this. He’ll think he’s vindicated or something.
Sep 23 2011 at 11:30am
Perhaps foreign monetary policy is just more contractionary.
Sep 23 2011 at 5:19pm
Another explanation is that monetary policy isn’t as effective as Sumner et al think. The rabid monetarists are so certain of the power of monetary policy that they find it impossible to even imagine failure. So they claim that it hasn’t been tried.
Monetary policy has had 3 years and it has failed miserably. Give up on it!
Sep 23 2011 at 5:33pm
FX don’t say much about domestic policy. Brazil and S. Africa are natural resource rich and commodity prices have been rising rapidly, which would increase demand for those currencies.
And as effem wrote, US policy could be very loose an still be tighter than other countries.
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