In a recent post I argued that government monopolies often offered worse service to customers than competitive private firms. In this post (which will have something to offend both progressives and conservatives), I’ll look at a different, but related problem.
A few days ago there was a big debate about a New York Times expose on working conditions at Amazon.com. (BTW, it would have been useful for the NYT to compare labor practices at the Seattle company to working conditions at firms operating in the Amazon region of Brazil.)
Many liberals were appalled, while conservatives often wondered why, if working conditions were so bad at Amazon, people didn’t simply “get another job.” I have sympathy for both sides, but probably a bit more for the conservative side.
One liberal objection might be that it’s not easy to get another job. And perhaps that’s because monetary policy since 2008 has been too contractionary. And perhaps that’s because conservatives have complained about the Fed’s QE/low interest rate policies, which has made the Fed reluctant to do more.
Regardless of how you feel about monetary policy, it’s clear that if employers feel they have a “captive audience” of workers, who are terrified of losing their jobs, it would be easier for the employer to crack the whip and drive the employees to work extremely hard. One advantage of a healthy job market is that workers have more power to negotiate pleasant working conditions.
But progressives also have some major weaknesses in this area. They tend to favor policies such as New York City’s rent controls, and the new $15 minimum wage being gradually phased in in some western cities. I like to think of these policies as engines of meanness. They are constructed in such a way that they almost guarantee that Americans will become less polite to each other.
In New York City, landlords with rent controlled units know that the rent is being artificially held far below market, and thus that they would have no trouble finding new tenants if the existing tenant is unhappy. So then have no incentive to upgrade the quality of the apartment, or to quickly fix problems. They do have an incentive to discriminate against minorities that, on average, are more likely to become unemployed, and hence unable to pay the rent. Or young people, who might damage the unit with wild parties.
Wage floors present the same sort of problem as rent ceilings, except that now it’s the demanders who become meaner, not the supplier. Firms that demand labor in Los Angeles in the year 2020 will be able to treat their employees very poorly, and still find lots of people willing to work for $15/hour.
Even worse, this regulation will interact with the migrant flow from Latin America, to produce another set of unanticipated side effects. In some developing countries there is a huge army of unemployed who go to the cities, hoping to get one of the few high wage jobs available in the “formal” sector of the economy. With a $15 minimum wage, migrants will come from Mexico until the disutility of waiting for a good job just balances the expected utility of landing one of those good jobs. You’ll have lots more angry, frustrated young Mexican illegal immigrants, with lots of time on their hands.
What could go wrong?
One reason that I am what Miles Kimball calls a “supply-side liberal” is that I believe my preferred policy mix (NGDP targeting plus free markets) is most likely to produce the sort of “nice” society I grew up with (in Madison, Wisconsin.)
READER COMMENTS
JLV
Aug 25 2015 at 10:52am
“Nice” to people who look like you maybe: http://host.madison.com/ct/topics/race-in-madison/madison-s-african-american-history-timeline/article_904abab8-e5b4-11e3-87a8-001a4bcf887a.html
Scott Sumner
Aug 25 2015 at 11:27am
JLV, This is what you linked to:
“1973
The Madison School Board adopts an affirmative action policy that commits the school district to actively recruit minorities and women for jobs.”
And your point is?
Cyril Morong
Aug 25 2015 at 12:49pm
This passage
“You’ll have lots more angry, frustrated young Mexican illegal immigrants, with lots of time on their hands.”
Reminded me of
“Exploiting changes in state and federal minimum wage laws from 1997 to 2010, we find that workers who are affected by a change in the minimum wage are more likely to commit crime, become idle, and lose employment. Individuals experiencing a binding minimum wage change were more likely to commit crime and work only part time.”
http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2014/02/will-raising-the-minimum-wage-boost-crime.html
Kevin Erdmann
Aug 25 2015 at 1:16pm
Great post.
I was thinking about this sort of thing the other day. When policy ceases to be about a broad context of fair access (which I would label “liberal”) and is instead about a labor vs capital divide (which I would label “progressive”), then personal gains come from patronage instead of productivity. The irony is that this tendency to create rents for labor can only succeed if those rents are available to begin with, so progressive policies tend to favor crony capitalism – limited building, protectionism, certification and licensing, etc. The tendency to see capital as having some nefarious negotiating power that overwhelms other market influences ends up favoring the very policies that create the worst forms of that power. Then progressives get what they conceived of in the first place – a stagnant level of output that we fight over politically, like jackals. It’s a self-fulfilling world-view.
I hope it’s not a problem that I tend to link to myself on these things, but I’m too verbose for comment layouts. 🙂
Jared
Aug 25 2015 at 1:21pm
Amazon takes the cream of the crop. I’m pretty sure those workers would have no problem finding another job even if we had Greece levels of unemployment.
ThomasH
Aug 25 2015 at 5:10pm
Hmm
Maybe we need a category (I think Miles already fits the bill) of “Supply side Liberal+” I’ll take your NGDP targeting and free markets and raise you re-distributive taxation of consumption, eg, a higher EITC instead of minimum wages plus partial tax credits rather than deductions for contributions to retirement plans.
As for analysis, making the working experience miserable for workers for whom the minimum wage is binding is not the only why employers may react. They may also be motivated to find cost effective ways of making their MP=wage. Of course some of those ways may imply moving up the demand curve and employing fewer workers, hence the superiority of the EITC.
Daniel Klein
Aug 25 2015 at 5:40pm
I agree Scott.
Kindness is one of the non-wage attributes of an employment relationship.
Kindness is one of the non-rent attributes of a rental relationship.
Kindness is one of the many, many attributes that gets adjusted when Big G imposes requirements with respect to one attribute.
Recognizing the adjustments often prompts illiberals, not to see the folly of the first, but to push for more impositions.
Scott Sumner
Aug 26 2015 at 10:16am
Lots of good comments. I don’t really have anything to add.
J Mann
Aug 26 2015 at 11:00am
Of course, if you’re using a monopolistic competitor model for the private sector, that customer service might be inefficient. (My daughter just finished an AP econ summer class – I wish I had appreciated that idea then. The idea that monopolistic competitors might spend their quondam profits on a race for customer service instead of advertising would have been fun to work through with her.)
James D
Aug 26 2015 at 1:48pm
I don’t know if I’d agree with the premise that what is occurring is that people who are normally honest and caring become less so due to price controls but rather that:
A) Price controls reduce the cost of discrimination so that those people who want to discriminate can do so and it won’t cost them profits.
B) Price controls reduce the profit that can be earned by someone who is honest and caring so they may sell their business/property to someone who will make more money from the property because they are willing to cut corners.
From Thomas Sowell’s Basic Economics, 4th edition,
Brett
Aug 27 2015 at 12:55am
Nah, they’ll just do what they do already in construction and agriculture, and work illegally for less than the legal minimum wage amount (even if it means paying them in cash). It’s the legal workers that will suffer, unless the overall economy is simultaneously growing enough that other jobs soak them up.
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