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Finance

Sell the Gold

By David Henderson | May 14, 2025

In the May 8 edition (electronic) of the Wall Street Journal, editorial writer Kimberley A. Strassel published an editorial titled “America Inc.’s Balance Sheet.” In it, she considered the proposals of Interior Secretary Doug Burgum (one of my two favorite Trump cabinet members, although I would have liked even better if Trump had chosen him .. MORE

Liberty

Is the cure worse than the disease?

By Scott Sumner | May 14, 2025

Back in January, Tyler Cowen did a post entitled, “Congratulations to Christopher Rufo and Richard Hanania.” This was in reference to their role in fighting DEI policies: As most of you already know, the Trump administration through Executive Orders has taken major steps against affirmative action and also DEI.  We will see how the details play .. MORE

Free Markets

The Firm: Disco Corp. and Ronald Coase

By Pierre Lemieux | May 14, 2025

For more than two decades, Disco Corp., a Japanese company with $25 billion in annual sales, has been trying to operate as if its 7,000 employees were independent contractors in the open market. The 87-year-old company now manufactures three-fourths of all the machines to cut, grind, and dice semiconductors. An interesting story in the Financial .. MORE

Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Fewer Rules, Better People: Discretion and Dispersed Information

By Kevin Corcoran | May 14, 2025

In a previous post, I described some cases of the use of discretion in law enforcement from Barry Lam’s book Fewer Rules, Better People. But while citing individual cases can be useful for illustrating an idea, coming to a decision on whether or when discretion should take precedence over legalism can’t be made by citing .. MORE

Regulation

Never Reason from a Population Change

By Scott Sumner | May 13, 2025

I realize that people get tired of me continually harping on the “never reason from a . . . ” maxim, but it’s a continual problem. A recent NBER study of housing by Schuyler Louie, John A. Mondragon, and Johannes Wieland had the following abstract: The standard view of housing markets holds that the flexibility .. MORE

Central Planning

Why I love Imperfect Competition

By Jon Murphy | May 13, 2025

Recently, Donald Trump stated that Americans are too wealthy and that his tariffs will fix that: Somebody said, ‘Oh the shelves are going to be open.’ Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls.  And maybe the two dolls will cost a couple bucks more than they would normally. Indeed, such .. MORE

International Trade

A UK Tariff Scorecard: We Lost

By David Henderson | May 12, 2025

10 > 3.3. With Donald Trump jumping around weekly in announcing this or that tariff increase or tariff cut, it can be hard to keep score. I’m still trying to figure out the Chinese scorecard. But the UK/US scorecard is starting to become clear: we lost. Colin Grabow at the Cato Institute put it well: .. MORE

Labor Market

They Didn’t Take Our Jobs

By Tyler Watts | May 12, 2025

In my previous post, I took on the common claim that America is losing manufacturing jobs. Not only are jobs growing, but job growth has outpaced population growth—i.e. the increase in the number of people available to fill those jobs—and this has been the case for most of the last four decades. Is the fact that more .. MORE

Politics and Economics

Escalation dominance?

By Scott Sumner | May 11, 2025

Kyle Chan recently made this claim in a blog post: There is no such thing as escalation dominance. Trump thinks the US will win in a trade war because China sells more to the US than the other way around. A tit-for-tat escalation on tariffs means the US will always be able to tariff more Chinese .. MORE

Economic Methods

My Weekly Reading for May 11, 2025

By David Henderson | May 11, 2025

First, Happy Mother’s Day to all the mothers who are reading this post. CBO Score Shows Medicaid Is Inefficient and Current Spending Levels Unpopular by Michael F. Cannon, Cato at Liberty, May 7, 2025, Excerpts: These projections reveal a troubling and dangerous aspect of Medicaid. If the CBO’s assumptions are reasonable, they further suggest—and I .. MORE

Political Economy

Are Constitutionalism and the Rule of Law Dying?

By Pierre Lemieux | May 10, 2025

If we believe Janan Ganesh’s latest Financial Times column, America may be doomed. The column’s subtitle encapsulates the argument: “The revolt against [Trump] isn’t huge, and it isn’t about constitutional principle.” That is, the columnist argues, a large and decisive proportion of Americans don’t believe in constitutional principles that constrain the state (“Take No Comfort .. MORE

Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Caplan’s Experience of Mainstream Economists and My Students’ Surprise

By David Henderson | May 9, 2025

On his Substack, Bet On It, Bryan Caplan today posted a segment from his newest book, Unbeatable. The segment is short and so I recommend reading the whole thing. One key paragraph: Mainstream economics and free-market economics: Since I’ve long lived in both of these intellectual worlds, I know their inhabitants well. I don’t just .. MORE

Monetary Policy

The Fed needs a “Strong” leader.

By Scott Sumner | May 9, 2025

In general, it is assumed that the chair of the Federal Reserve Board is the leader of the Fed. But is that necessarily the case? During the 1920s, Benjamin Strong was effectively the leader of the Fed, despite being merely the president of one of its regional banks (the admittedly important New York Fed).  Nothing .. MORE

International Trade

They Took Our Jobs!

By Tyler Watts | May 9, 2025

The anti-trade protectionists are back in power, and they’re promising once again to “bring back good-paying jobs” that America supposedly had “stolen” from us over the years due to “unfair” foreign competition. Tariffs are of course the preferred tool of protectionists past and present, and President Trump has heralded tariffs as “the most beautiful word .. MORE

International Trade

Some Hidden Costs of Tariffs

By Jon Murphy | May 9, 2025

The Wall Street Journal has had some fantastic coverage of tariffs since the so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs were announced.  One recent article (“Retail Giants Manage to Keep a Lid on Prices but Warn It Can’t Last,” 29 April 2025) demonstrates some important insights into tariffs.  Sarah Nassauer, Shane Shifflett, and Sebastian Herrera write (emphasis added): .. MORE

EconTalk

Go Ahead and Keep Them; We’ll Make More

By David Henderson | May 8, 2025

Early in his EconTalk interview with Douglas Irwin, Russ Roberts says: But I just want to pose the question: Suppose they didn’t come back. Suppose foreigners sold us cars and all kinds of things, and we sent them dollars. Americans sent them dollars. And the foreigners really liked the way the dollars looked, so they put them .. MORE

Free Markets

A new neoliberalism?

By Scott Sumner | May 8, 2025

Among the smarter center-left pundits, we are seeing signs of what might be called a revival of neoliberalism. Here I’m thinking of people like Matt Yglesias, Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson and Noah Smith. (They might not like that label, but I’m more concerned with content than terminology.) Noah Smith recently provided a good explanation of .. MORE

Economic Education

Gas Shortages: Cutsinger’s Solution

By Bryan Cutsinger | May 8, 2025

Question: Suppose the market price of gasoline is $5.00 per gallon. Politicians, responding to their constituents who believe that such a price is outrageous, impose a price control of $2.00 per gallon. At this price, you want to buy 9 gallons of gasoline per week but gas stations are now only willing to sell you .. MORE

Economic Growth

Tariffs, Growth, and Brexit

By Janet Bufton | May 8, 2025

Scott Sumner’s post Tariffs and the Economy observes that the most important effects of tariffs are not big, dramatic, or immediate ones. They’re the hits to long-term growth as arrangements gradually become less efficient and lower growth rates compound.  The lack of an immediate, catastrophic outcome could be used as an excuse to dismiss tariffs .. MORE

Adam Smith

The Lure of Yesteryear Manufacturing

By Pierre Lemieux | May 8, 2025

An eight-second Wall Street Journal video clip illustrates the old-time, labor-intensive manufacturing that some, including the two last US presidents, want to bring back to America by using state coercion and threats (“Trump’s Tariffs Are Lifting Some U.S. Manufacturers,” May 4, 2025). The featured worker in the video clip seems to be endlessly repeating two .. MORE

International Macroeconomics

Is A Negative Net International Investment Position Cause for Concern?

By Jon Murphy | May 7, 2025

No. The Net International Investment Position (NIIP) is a simple accounting concept.  It is the total value of foreign assets owned by Americans in other countries minus the total US assets owned by foreigners.  A positive number means that the value (but not the returns) of US-owned foreign assets is greater than the value (but .. MORE