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Political Economy

The Moral Authority Test

By Arnold Kling | Jul 11, 2012

Tim Carney reports on the latest project from the Mercatus Center. George Mason University’s Mercatus Center this week is kicking off a series of papers on cronyism and business-government collusion. (Seemingly-related Video from LearnLiberty) You can think of the project as having two goals. One goal would be to clarify for conservatives the distinction between .. MORE

Microeconomics

A One-Penny Proof

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 11, 2012

I recently tweeted: In social science, the best arguments prove more than the best studies. Hands down. Here’s one homely example of what I have in mind. When economists explain marginalism, students often object, “But surely no one ever changes his behavior over a single penny.”  However, they’re provably wrong.  If “no one ever changes .. MORE

Labor Market

Thomas Ricks’s Fiasco

By David Henderson | Jul 10, 2012

In late June, Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, the former commander of international forces in Afghanistan, called for reinstating the draft. “I think if a nation goes to war, every town, every city needs to be at risk,” he said at the Aspen Ideas Festival. “You make that decision and everybody has skin in the game.” .. MORE

Macroeconomics

The Selgin-Sumner-Tobin Model vs. PSST

By Arnold Kling | Jul 10, 2012

George Selgin writes, U.S. NGDP was restored to its pre-crisis level over two years ago. Since then both its actual and its forecast growth rate have been hovering relatively steadily around 5 percent, or about two percentage points below the pre-crisis rate.The growth rate of U.S. average hourly (money) earnings has, on the other hand, .. MORE

Economics and Culture

Ask a Martian Sociologist: What Does American Education Say About the American Labor Market?

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 10, 2012

From the latest draft of The Case Against Education: The permanent residents of the Ivory Tower often congratulate themselves for broadening students’ horizons.  For the most part, however, “broaden” means “expose students to yet another subject they’ll never use in real life.” Put yourself in the shoes of a Martian sociologist.  Your mission: Given our .. MORE

Cost-benefit Analysis

Henderson on Robert Guest

By David Henderson | Jul 9, 2012

His basic argument is that migration of people across borders creates, in the United States particularly, not so much a melting pot as a “rich stew.” (This is not a quote from the book; it’s actually from Cato Institute senior fellow Tom Palmer, but I think Guest would like it.) Immigrants to the United States .. MORE

Labor Market

Jobless Science Ph.D’s

By Arnold Kling | Jul 9, 2012

The Washington Post has the story, but buries the lede. The pharmaceutical industry once was a haven for biologists and chemists who did not go into academia. Well-paying, stable research jobs were plentiful in the Northeast, the San Francisco Bay area and other hubs. But a decade of slash-and-burn mergers; stagnating profit; exporting of jobs .. MORE

Information Goods, Intellectual Property

Tipping, Status, and Signaling

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 9, 2012

Everything Arnold says about status goods and tipping points holds for signaling as well.  It’s theoretically possible for bizarre new equilibria to emerge: Something that is a status good in one era can be the opposite in another. Think of smoking, for example. At some point, there may emerge a generation for whom having their .. MORE

Behavioral Economics

Kahneman on the Crash

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 9, 2012

Daniel Kahneman’s view of the 2008 crash is eerily similar to my own: Many people now say they knew a financial crisis was coming, but they didn’t really. After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. Also: Economists have a mystique among social .. MORE

Economics of Education

The Status-Good Model of College

By Arnold Kling | Jul 8, 2012

Bryan correctly characterized my views. However, to me they imply a tipping equilibrium. Something that is a status good in one era can be the opposite in another. Think of smoking, for example. At some point, there may emerge a generation for whom having their children attend an elite college is not a status good. .. MORE

Economics and Culture

The Future of Online Education: Three Competing Perspectives

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 8, 2012

Amazon put Borders out of business.  Is online education going to do to the same to brick-and-mortar colleges?*  Reflecting on earlier conversations with Arnold, I’ve realized that there are three competing perspectives with three competing predictions. Perspective #1: Human capital model.  Analysis: The point of college is to teach marketable skills.  Online education will soon .. MORE

Labor Market

Up From Poverty

By David Henderson | Jul 7, 2012

“Up From Poverty” is the title of my review [scroll down to page 12] of Walter Williams’s book, Up From the Projects: an Autobiography. Why do I review an autobiography in a publication titled Regulation? Here’s why: When economists want to discuss the damage done by the minimum wage, for example, we tend to cite .. MORE

Economic Education

Barro on Marginal Utility and Wealth Transfers

By David Henderson | Jul 6, 2012

In an otherwise good article defending Tyler Cowen, Josh Barro states the following: There is declining marginal utility of money: A person who makes $10,000 gets more value out of an extra dollar than a person who makes $100,000 does. So, transferring wealth from rich people to poor people makes the public better off in .. MORE

Microeconomics

Pepconomics

By Arnold Kling | Jul 6, 2012

My latest essay is on the economics of Pepco, the apparently under-performing electric utility. I am concerned by two factors that insulate Pepco from facing market discipline concerning reliability. The first is that Pepco is a regulated monopoly. The second is that there is no price indicating the benefits of reliability. Right now, the only .. MORE

Political Economy

Employer Tyranny vs. Guaranteed Freedom

By Arnold Kling | Jul 6, 2012

John Holbo writes, Libertarians can, of course, just come out and say that they prefer contract rights to guarantees of freedom. No one is paying any attention to me in this debate, But I wrote, Just be careful about assuming that there must be a perfect option. Once you assume that there is something that .. MORE

Macroeconomics

The Debt-Fueled Binge Story, Keynes, and PSST

By Arnold Kling | Jul 6, 2012

Mark Thoma gives us Tim Duy: What was more important in holding the economy close to potential output, residential construction itself, or the housing price bubble? I tend to believe the price-driven balance sheet effects were driving dynamics over this past business cycle. I still think that the best charts demonstrating this are Timothy Taylor’s. .. MORE

Economic History

Be Careful What You Wish For – You May Already Have It

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 5, 2012

A People’s History of American Empire mentions that former South Vietnamese prime minister Nguyen Cao Ky was an open admirer of Hitler.  Intrigued, I decided to investigate.  The charge checks out.  Exact quote: “People ask me who my heroes are. I admire Hitler because he pulled his country together when it was in a terrible .. MORE

Economic Methods

A Paragraph to Ponder

By Arnold Kling | Jul 5, 2012

From Robert Roberts Knowledge comes into us through a variety of channels that can be blocked by our concern for status, and the successful knowledge-seeker will be one who keeps those channels open. The process requires that we be able to “listen,” either literally or figuratively, to what others say. If what they say shows .. MORE

Family Economics

Savings, Genes, and Fade-Out

By Bryan Caplan | Jul 5, 2012

Parenting often has large effects on the young.  Parents do stuff, their kids respond, and observers conclude that parenting is very important.  You need twin and adoption methods to uncover the crucial caveat: these parenting effects usually fade-out.  Kids aren’t like clay that parents mold for life; they’re like flexible plastic than responds to pressure .. MORE

Finance

Joffe on LIBOR

By David Henderson | Jul 5, 2012

As many readers probably know, there has been a huge scandal recently about the setting of the London InterBank Offer Rate (LIBOR). This is the rate used around the world on literally trillions of dollars in loans, including many mortgages. Marc Joffe has a good blog post on the facts of the scandal. What is .. MORE

Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Tone vs. Substance

By Arnold Kling | Jul 4, 2012

In a comment on the Don Boudreaux book, Jason Collins writes, As most of Boudreaux’s posts are in what you define as category (c), the book is not going to change the mind of your liberal friend. Contrast the comments at the bottom of a Cafe Hayek post with those in Marginal Revolution. Cafe Hayek’s .. MORE