
The questions we ask or the passing comments we make depend on the explicit or implicit theories we hold about the world, including normative theories and values. This is not to say that anything is as true as anything else or that any value is as defensible as any other, but that one’s theories and values should be examined. What one says can also be motivated by virtue signaling, that is, showing one’s good standing with the group one wants to endear or persuade.
Unexamined passing comments are often influenced by the intelligentsia’s intellectual fetishes. I found a few examples in a book that is otherwise serious and challenging: Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson, The Narrow Corridor: Sates, Society, and the Fate of Liberty (Penguin, 2019). I will have a review of the book in the forthcoming (Fall) issue of Regulation.
One example is about guns in the hands of ordinary citizens. The book tells us, as if it were obvious:
The original wording of the Second Amendment … has left a long trail of violence and its wake.
The well-known fact that 60% of gun deaths in America are suicides has some bearing on the evaluation of this sort of statement. And why do the authors, who are fond of “social mobilization” and (some) democratic resistance to Leviathan, criticize the National Rifle Association which, whatever one thinks of it (and the grave mistakes it has made over the past several years), is a major grass-root and anti-elite force in America? One would think that they would normally celebrate the private ownership of guns. George Orwell, the author of Nineteen-Eighty-Four, wrote in an article (quoted in Michael Shelden, Orwell: The Authorized Biography [HarperCollins Publishers, 1991], p. 328):
That rifle hanging on the wall of the working-class flat or labourer’s cottage is the symbol of democracy. It is our job to see that it stays there.
Totemic ideas are often dangerous. Could we similarly hypothesize that the First Amendment has “left a long trail of violence in its wake” because certain instances of free speech—say, about the meaningless of life or publicizing suicides—cannot be repressed? Have the automobile industry or the swimming pool manufacturers left a long trail of deaths in America? These trails of death were absent from the former Soviet Union and its satellite countries: with few cars and swimming pools, automobile deaths and children drowning were necessarily low. Only public guns, not private ones, left a trail of violence.
Another example: Is it so obvious that, as Acemoglu and Robinson suggest, Sweden is a model country compared to the United States? Not all facts concur. Just as an example (I give others in my Regulation review), consider that the age-standardized suicide rate of women is 16% higher in Sweden (7.4 per 100,000) than in the United States (6.4). If we take the raw rates (without adjustment for differences in population age structure), the comparison is more impressive: the suicide rate of women is 46% higher in Sweden (10.5) than in the United States (7.2). (See World Health Organization, Suicide in the World: Global Health Estimates, 2019.) Does this mean that social democracy is tough on the fair sex? (Unfair to the fair sex—pardon the pun.) Okay, this fact may have no particular significance, but shouldn’t it give pause to the typical defender of the Swedish model?
Incidentally, Sweden seems to have reached the highest rate of homicide by shooting in Europe. The Economist notes (“Sweden Is Being Shot Up,” July 24, 2021):
Such violence is invariably fuelled by illegal drugs and ill-feeling between jobless, marginalised young men and the police. …
In 1980 Gothenburg’s police solved 80% of all murders. Nowadays the figure is a dismal 20%.
It’s not because the Swedes have a Second Amendment, far from that. Handguns are forbidden to peaceful private citizens. Only cops and thugs carry them. Immigration and gangs are apparently a big part of the problem, but it is worth asking to which extent important features of the Swedish model could play a role.
In short, one must be prudent with the intelligentsia’s fetishes.
READER COMMENTS
Mark Brady
Aug 5 2021 at 11:24am
“Immigration and gangs are apparently a big part of the problem, but it is worth asking to which extent important features of the Swedish model could play a role.”
Pierre, what are the “important features of the Swedish model” that might play a role in explaining the high suicide rate?
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 5 2021 at 11:48am
Mark: Suicide is a complex problem and I don’t feel competent enough to elaborate; but the worshippers of Sweden should. Some hypotheses for why everything is not going well in the best of all worlds: the stiff labor market, heavy social-bureaucratic control (think of rent controls in Stockholm), the rule of the bien-pensants (and the “social partners”), the absence of real and messy individual liberty, animal farm, perhaps the impression of living in the Prisoner’s Village? But perhaps we are all Swedish now.
Mark Z
Aug 5 2021 at 1:17pm
Some idle speculation: countries with overly generous welfare states struggle to assimilate (particular young male) immigrants into society as functional citizens, and they instead end up unemployed, dependent on the state, ghettoized, and culturally unintegrated. The fact that immigrants to the US face a stronger immediate pressure to find work and integrate, because it’s harder to survive here off of government largesse, is probably in the long run better for most of them. This may be part of why immigrants from the same countries of origin are often greatly overrepresented among criminals in Europe but underrepresented among criminals in the US (though of course selection effects and different base rates of crimes also need to be considered).
Craig
Aug 5 2021 at 2:12pm
My hypothesis is that Sweden has a greater incidence of single mothers. Apparently being a single mother does seem to be correlated with higher suicide rates.
https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20000406/early-death-single-mothers
“Single mothers are at greater risk of early death than mothers with partners, according to a new Swedish study. In particular, researchers found these women were far more likely to die of suicide, violence, or alcohol-related causes.”
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 5 2021 at 2:27pm
Craig: Interesting hypothesis—assuming it is true that there are more single mothers in Sweden. There must have been other research on this since the Lancet study 20 years ago. Note a remarkable conclusion of the author:
Craig
Aug 5 2021 at 2:42pm
Well I see there are more children in single parent households in the US.
https://www.vox.com/2014/4/20/5632028/in-france-and-sweden-most-kids-parents-arent-married
But it looks like there are more births to unmarried mothers in Sweden.
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 5 2021 at 2:34pm
Craig: According to Statista (citing the Pew Research Center), it is the US that has the highest rate of single parenting (certainly mostly single mothers) in the World. But Sweden is in the same league. See https://www.statista.com/chart/21655/share-of-children-living-with-single-parents-worldwide/.
Craig
Aug 5 2021 at 2:49pm
In other words, in Sweden it looks like more women are giving birth outside of wedlock from the get go. Whereas in the US it looks like the mother is married, gives birth to 2 or 3 kids and then gets divorced. My suspicion is that the stress of being a single mom is likely most stressful the younger the children are. I used to get a chuckle from that commercial on TV where the father enters his children’s room and says, “Listen Dave I’m going to be needing to take a sick day tomorrow” and then the camera turns around and there’s a toddler at the crib. The commercial then says, “Dads don’t take sick days, dads take Nyquil” – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GM_2ArOe9yQ
It illustrates how beholden the parent is to being a parent 24/7 and I can see how those pressures might be overwhelming.
Vivian Darkbloom
Aug 6 2021 at 12:45pm
“In other words, in Sweden it looks like more women are giving birth outside of wedlock from the get go.”
Craig, this is very misleading. (Why does this remind me why we should not take polling results at face value?).
The Vox article you cited was not about “single parents” as normally understood (and as Vox took pains to point out). Rather, it was about “unmarried moms” and the purpose of the explanatory text was to try to explain why “single parent” is a misleading term (as much as the more perjorative “out-of wedlock”?) What does “out of wedlock” in this context mean? Vox itself updated that brief article with the following clarification:
“* Updated April 21: Several instances of the term “single” have been removed from this post to clarify that many children, especially in northern Europe, are raised in the context of stable non-marital relationships rather than in “single-parent households” as the term is normally understood.”
I don’t think it matters at all to children (or their welfare) that the parents are not married when the child is born. What is important is whether they have two parents who are committed to each other and their mutual children. I’ve lived in various European countries over the past 40 years and can attest to the fact that the marriage certificate is not particularly important here to young devoted couples with children.
I would dig a lot deeper before drawing conclusions on this topic and being drawn into making “unexamined passing comments”!
More generally, the blog format (and the comments thereto, including my own) are particularly susceptible to the problem of insufficient examination (it’s not clear to me that insufficient examination is better than unexamined).
“A little learning is a dangerous thing. Drink deep, or taste not the Pierian Spring; There shallow draughts intoxicate the brain, and drinking largely sobers us again.”
robc
Aug 6 2021 at 9:32am
Can you put a pigovian tax on regulators for their negative externalities?
JK Brown
Aug 8 2021 at 6:46pm
The “educated strata” as von Mises called them in ‘Bureaucracy’ are well known to be the most gullible. Easily fooled and desperate to cling to their foolishness. C.S. Lewis described the situation quite eloquently
The university is where they are trained to the proper opinions for inclusion after graduation. Mannerisms, speech and opinions are beyond reevaluation out of fear of being ostracized from the “chosen”.
And why might this be? One is the nature of their schooling in the use of words and not hands to express themselves.
Warren Platts
Aug 10 2021 at 4:16am
So true. Fascinating new article here from the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology: Misplaced trust: When trust in science fosters belief in pseudoscience and the benefits of critical evaluation.
Their conclusion:
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