Elizabeth Warren Bet Update
By Bryan Caplan
Since Elizabeth Warren has announced her Presidential candidacy, my 2017 Warren bet with my friend Ben Haller has officially activated. He’s betting $50 against my $100 that she wins the Presidency. When we made the bet, betting markets put her odds at 7.9%, but now they’re down to a measly 3.1%.
Of course, back in 2015 I probably would have given Trump about a 3.1% of winning, too…