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Was High Inflation Inevitable?

By Scott Sumner | May 6 2024
During the period following the 2020 Covid pandemic, many countries experienced relatively high inflation. This reflects two factors: 1. All countries were hit by shocks such as Covid-related supply chain disruptions and the Ukraine war. 2. Most countries enacted very extensive stimulus programs, which had similar effects in each case. It was appropriate to allow ...

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Great Moments in Denying Reality

By David Henderson | Apr 24 2024

California has some of the strictest insurance regulations in the country. It is the only state where insurers are not allowed to base their rate hikes on catastrophe models — forward-looking calculations of risk — or the rising cost of reinsurance premiums, according to both Zimmerman and the Department of Insurance. Under current regulations, insurers are only .. MORE

Featured Comment

You are correct regarding cost; depending upon the state in question, housing an inmate incurs a cost between roughly $32k to $40k per year.  The more the prison population grows, the more stressed corrections budgets..

Tarnell S Brown, May 1

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Incentives

Disinformation Exists and Is Dangerous

By Pierre Lemieux | May 10, 2024 | 1

Last week’s issue of The Economist featured a few articles about disinformation, which it defines as “falsehoods that are intended to deceive.” More precisely, I would define it as the intentional publication or spreading of fact-related information that is nearly certainly false by a person or an organization whose self-interest it is to spread the .. MORE

Business Economics

Are Businesses Hard-Hearted?

By David Henderson | May 9, 2024 | 11

  How often have you heard a line something like the following: “Because businesses care only about making money, they and their executives are hard-hearted towards their customers and employees.” Even some people who think that, on net, businesses are good for our economy, often characterize them as being hard-hearted because of their profit motive. .. MORE

Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Legislators, Technology, and Michael Crichton

By Kevin Corcoran | May 8, 2024 | 7

Michael Crichton once highlighted an unusual quirk in human thinking – something he called Gell-Mann Amnesia, after his friend Murray Gell-Mann. Chrichton said: Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray’s case, physics. In mine, show business. You read .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Fed Forecasting: AI or Markets?

By Scott Sumner | May 8, 2024 | 6

In a recent blog post, Vasant Dhar had some interesting remarks about the possible role of AI in Fed policy: Might AI help us better understand the data and design better economic policy interventions? Last week I had lunch with some central bankers who wanted to talk to me about AI. They were interested in .. MORE

Economics of Crime

Civil Asset Forfeiture: The War on Drugs™ as a Law Enforcement Revenue Center

By Tarnell Brown | May 7, 2024 | 2

This is the third in my series on the social costs of drug prohibition. You can read part one here (prison-industrial complex) and part two (police militarization) here.   In the 1914 decision US v Regan, the Supreme Court held that the “rule of evidence requiring proof beyond a reasonable doubt is generally applicable only .. MORE

Macroeconomics

Was High Inflation Inevitable?

By Scott Sumner | May 6, 2024 | 10

During the period following the 2020 Covid pandemic, many countries experienced relatively high inflation. This reflects two factors: 1. All countries were hit by shocks such as Covid-related supply chain disruptions and the Ukraine war. 2. Most countries enacted very extensive stimulus programs, which had similar effects in each case. It was appropriate to allow .. MORE

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Bloggers David Henderson, Alberto Mingardi, Scott Sumner, Pierre Lemieux, Kevin Corcoran, and guests write on topical economics of interest to them, illuminating subjects from politics and finance, to recent films and cultural observations, to history and literature.

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Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Frank Herbert’s Dune – A Cautionary Tale 7

Warning: There will be spoilers in this post for the plot of Dune, including plot points from the second book that will serve as the basis for the as-yet unmade third movie.  The recently released Dune: Part 2 has been a big box-office success, as was the first movie. These two movies were based on .. MORE

Adam Smith

Adam Smith and Anthony de Jasay (With ChatGPT 4) 28

The following two quotes show a bridge between old-time classical liberals, represented by Adam Smith, the famous and 18th-century liberal economist, and Anthony de Jasay, the more radical liberal anarchist of our time. The first quote comes from the manuscript of a lecture delivered by Smith (quoted after his death but later lost): Little else .. MORE

Books: Reviews and Suggested Readings

Is Politics Immoral? Meet Princess Mathilde 26

Political and moral philosophy are related to economics, and even less stealthily to the older political economy. The economist cannot recommend a government policy without making or accepting a value judgment consistent with who is going to be helped and who will be harmed. At least, he must believe that the policy falls within the .. MORE

Book Reviews and Suggested Readings

Thomas Sowell, Political Conflict, and Madmen in Authority

By Arnold Kling

The role of rationally articulated ideas may be quite modest in its effect on a given election, a legislative vote, or an action of a head of state. Yet the atmosphere in which such decisions take place may be dominated by a particular vision—or by a particular conflict of visions. Where intellectuals have played a .. MORE

What’s the Economist’s Point of View?

By Adam Martin

A Liberty Classic Book Review of The Economic Point of View: An Essay on the History of Economic Thought, by Israel Kirzner.1 What is economics, really? One popular answer to this question is: who cares? Economics is what economists do. Frank Knight famously quipped, in response to this attitude, “and economists are those who do .. MORE

When Searching for Monsters to Destroy, What Do We Fail to Discover?

By Rosolino Candela

Book Review of In Search of Monsters to Destroy: The Folly of American Empire and the Paths to Peace, by Christopher J. Coyne.1 According to Ludwig von Mises, “economic history is a long record of government policies that failed because they were designed with a bold disregard for the laws of economics” ([1949] 2007, p. .. MORE

What Should Economists Do Now?

By Mikayla Novak

A Book Review of Cogs and Monsters: What Economics Is, and What It Should Be, by Diane Coyle.1 Economics has arguably been under greater scrutiny than ever before. Its ontological premises, methodological postulates, conceptual insights, and analytical techniques are under intense appraisal within the academy, with social scientists from non-economic disciplines and even heterodox economists .. MORE