Over at PJ Media, Rich Moran writes:

Since there is a pretty good possibility that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel are likely to “take” a nuclear bomb down the gullet thanks to the ignorant naivete of the president and sycophants like [Gwen] Ifil, that particular tweet might come back to haunt Ms. Ifill one day.

It seems in context that by “possibility,” Mr. Moran means probability.

So how probable? And in what time frame?

I propose the following bet.

I bet $500 that the Iranian government will not attack Israel with nuclear weapons before September 2, 2025. If I win, I win $100. If Mr. Moran wins, he wins $500.