I read the Financial Times not mainly for its collectivist ideology (the preference for collective choices), but for its frequently sound reporting on economically significant phenomena and trivial-looking but important facts. I do read this newspaper partly for its collectivist editorializing, for one must not read only what confirms one’s biases; but I would still read it if it were more individualist, as it was some decades ago. About the reporting, I found many interesting points in a recent Financial Times story about cocoa beans, the main ingredient of chocolate: see Susannah Savage, Chocolate Cartels: The Rise of Cocoa Smuggling, August 2, 2025.
The first set of facts relates to the great “deals” that the states of Ghana and Ivory Coast made with their cocoa farmers. Two-thirds of the world supply of cocoa beans comes from these two countries. The official deal was to protect the farmers against price fluctuations on the world market. The real deal probably aimed at allowing each state to establish a monopsony of the domestic cocoa production: it could then pay the farmers less than the world price, resell the beans on the world market, and use the difference to subsidize the urban elite. With a world price of cocoa that reached $10,000 per ton (now down to about $7,000) over the last year and a half, the price paid to farmers only crept up, with a lag, from $1,000 to between $3,000 and $5,000.
An economist won’t be surprised. In rich countries, where farmers make up a very small proportion of the population, they represent concentrated interests that use the state to exploit the rest of the population. In underdeveloped countries like Ghana and Ivory Coast, where farmers represent the bulk of the active population, they are typically exploited by the concentrated interests of urban and government elites. In general, public choice economics has taught us not to idealize the state: it is manned by people no less self-interested than you and I. Catering to organized and vocal interests serves the interests of politicians and their bureaucracy.
A second revealing phenomenon is the rise of smuggling. Given the level of cocoa prices on world markets, farmers sell part of their crops (perhaps a quarter of it in Ghana) to smugglers, who, at some risk, transport it to neighboring countries, out of the reach of the national monopsony, and resell the beans for as much as $9,000 a ton (during the recent peak). From there, the beans are shipped to European processing hubs in Belgium or the Netherlands. Even with the state’s repressive apparatus, it is often impossible to prevent human individuals from trading when doing so is in their best interest. The reflection of a pilot trying to catch moving smugglers gives the flavor of the phenomenon:
“It’s more dangerous to investigate cocoa than arms trafficking,” boasted the pilot, an adviser to the government, who requested anonymity and described it being “like cocaine in Colombia or in the Amazon”.
Adam Smith saw the smuggler as
a person who, though no doubt highly blameable for violating the laws of his country, is frequently incapable of violating those of natural justice, and would have been, in every respect, an excellent citizen, had not the laws of his country made that a crime which nature never meant to be so. … Not many people are scrupulous about smuggling, when, without perjury, they can find any easy and safe opportunity of doing so. To pretend to have any scruple about buying smuggled goods, though a manifest encouragement to the violation of the revenue laws, and to the perjury which almost always attends it, would in most countries be regarded as one of those pedantic pieces of hypocrisy which, instead of gaining credit with any body, serve only to expose the person who affects to practise them, to the suspicion of being a greater knave than most of his neighbours. By this indulgence of the public, the smuggler is often encouraged to continue a trade which he is thus taught to consider as in some measure innocent.
A third phenomenon is official corruption. Less honorable are the government officials who, as the FT reports, take bribes from the smugglers, although we should note that this corruption does allow humble people to trade despite the state’s official restrictions. “Ivorian authorities did not respond to a request for comments,” the journalist notes.
A fourth observation results from a new surveillance activity by governments. The “traceability” of products decreed by the European Union’s controversial Deforestation Regulation may kill the trade in smuggled beans, which will likely lack proper documentation. If the smugglers find a way around this new restriction, it will reduce the price they can offer to farmers.
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Cocoa beans from West Africa arrive in Europe, by ChatGPT
READER COMMENTS
David Seltzer
Aug 8 2025 at 7:23pm
Pierre: Tariffs exacerbate the problem. Cocoa is used to make chocolate. I don’t think there is a substitute ingredient for producing chocolate. You might be interested in “Trump’s War on Chocolate,” reason mag article by Eric Boehm, 8/2025.
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 8 2025 at 10:38pm
Thanks, David. I’ll have a look. (I must have missed it.)
Matthias
Aug 9 2025 at 8:38pm
Cacao is used for a few more other things, too. Not just chocolate.
There’s some substitutes, depending on application and your tolerance for differences. There’s eg carob powder.
And from the supplier’s point of view, they can substitute with a different cash crop.
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 10 2025 at 5:26pm
Matthias: You are right: there are virtually always possibilities of substitution in consumption and in production; the elasticity of substitution is rarely zero, especially when we consider the whole market instead of a single consumer or producer. See my post “War and the Economic Concept of Substitution.”
Craig
Aug 10 2025 at 11:14am
“The “traceability” of products decreed by the European Union’s controversial Deforestation Regulation may kill the trade in smuggled beans, which will likely lack proper documentation.”
That could be though I wonder how effective that would be because once lots are mixed who is to tell?
Pierre Lemieux
Aug 10 2025 at 5:20pm
Craig: Good question. The problem with these regulations à la Tocqueville is that there are always penalties for violating them. They are not pious wishes. As state surveillance becomes more efficient (think of the cameras everywhere), evading smuggling regulations gets more risky and costly, so we can expect less smuggling, but not zero of course.
Mactoul
Aug 11 2025 at 4:56am
Yet EU can not trace, never mind stop, the refugees, the migrants, the asylum seekers, nor those burning down churches, stabbing people here and there and molesting others, even as they track and trace each cocoa bean.
Knut P. Heen
Aug 11 2025 at 5:53am
This is probably related to CO2 accounting. The EU forces manufacturers to produce an accounting statement for CO2 which includes accounting for non-EU suppliers as well. The idea is that the customer should know how much CO2 was emitted to produce the chocolate. I guess smugglers will have to find a way to get around that problem.
Comments are closed.