Economic illiteracy supports or encourages a lack of human decency. Consider the American government vis-à-vis the Vietnamese.
The average Vietnamese produces a value of $15,194 per year, that is, of GDP per capita, which means that he earns that amount in income. The corresponding figure for the United States is $81,665, over five times more. Vietnamese are poor. (My comparisons of GDP per capita are in international dollars at purchasing power parity, or PPP, and come from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. Purchasing power parities are meant to correct for the lower price on non-traded goods available in poorer countries—land, lodging, and many services. Other prices are equalized by trade which, when permitted, arbitrages price differences over and above transport and transaction costs. Corrections for PPPs increase the GDP of poorer countries compared to US GDP.)
Let me add that the Vietnamese—the individuals living in Vietnam—have had a tragic history, if only in the last century. They have been exploited by their governments, notably in the North. Those in the South lived through an American-led war against communism, although being earlier victims of Russian, Chinese, and North Vietnamese communism would not have been fun either. The South was ultimately abandoned by the American government and all Vietnamese have since been living under communism, although the regime is softer now than it has been. Their government has allowed a measure of entrepreneurship and free enterprise under which the poor Vietnamese have been able to escape dire poverty.
There are three ways to get rich or richer. You can loot the rich, as long as they remain rich. You can loot the poor, a specialty of the brand of collectivism called communism. Or you can trade with the rich or the poor. The third way is how, in general, Americans—individual Americans—have become rich. Thirty percent of the Vietnamese’s incomes come from selling goods to Americans, rich or not. More recently, the Vietnamese have benefited from the American trade war with the Chinese (whose GDP per capita is $24,558), whose exports to Americans were partly replaced by Vietnamese exports, legally or illegally. We should not put too much focus on the illegal part: in their time (I am thinking of the 1808-1909 trade embargo), Americans were also good smugglers. Many still are. Smuggling means trying to avoid the government-raised obstacles to trade between individuals.
A GDP per capita of $15,194 does not mean dire poverty, but it is still poverty by the standards of the rich world. It places Vietnam in the World Bank’s category of lower middle income countries (among four categories: low income, lower middle income, upper middle income, high income). Using the longer Maddison Project series on GDP per capita (estimates in constant dollars but without PPP) suggests that Vietnam is now roughly where the United States was at the end of the 19th century, although the lack of PPP correction exaggerates the difference. Like China and many poor countries, Vietnam climbed to the lower-middle-income category not because it had a liberal government, which it has not had, but because its residents were partially allowed to participate in world trade. The first year available in the World Bank’s GDP series shows that GDP per capita in Vietnam was, in 1990, only 5% of the American level (a bit above China). Opening the door to international trade for poor countries’ residents had a momentous impact on the reduction of their poverty. It is not that Americans became poorer, quite the contrary, but that residents of these poor countries became much less poor.
Regarding the lack of human decency and shame, consider this (A. Anantha Lakshmi, “Vietnam’s Largest Import Partner Is China, While the US is Its Top Export Destination,” Financial Times, November 16, 2024):
While Trump did not mention Vietnam during the recent presidential election campaign, he called out the country in 2019 as “almost the single worst abuser of everybody”.
“Vietnam takes advantage of us even worse than China,” he told Fox Business.
These quotes and their underlying foundations are remarkable. Why would the government of people earning $82,000 a year want to forbid the latter to trade, or to impose tariffs limiting their opportunities to trade, with people earning $15,000? The economic illiterate excuse is the trade deficit with these people earning $15,000. Certainly, Americans and their middlemen, who are not forced to import goods from a country 8,000 miles away, have also benefited. Otherwise, they would not have done it. An engineer, say, benefits from trading with his butcher, and the butcher benefits too: otherwise, they would not trade. Economic theory confirmed by experience shows that a trade deficit between a group of people called Americans or engineers, and another group called Vietnamese or butchers, has no other significance than that individuals in the two groups benefit.
Of course, any trade and any competition disrupt some producers, but there is no increase in wealth and progress without that. In the great scheme of things, “protecting” some people against the trades of others is not generally going to help the former, and certainly not their children, because in such a perverse system their own opportunities will be limited in order to protect still other people.
Why would some Americans trade with some Vietnamese? Why do the poor and the rich trade together? The poor are less productive; that’s why they are poor. The rich are more productive; that’s why they are rich. “Productive” means producing something that some consumers (or producers of other goods) want at a competitive price. The poor produce some things that rich consumers (or intermediate producers) can’t find elsewhere at comparable prices. The rich produce some things that poor consumers (or efficient producers) can’t find elsewhere at comparable prices. Each group of producers—made up of individuals, remember—has a comparative advantage. Imagine yourself forbidden to trade with people poorer than you such as, say, your garbage collector; or imagine yourself forbidden to trade with people richer than you, like your doctor or many owners and executives of car manufacturers.
But what about the rich or richer individuals disrupted by their fellow citizens trading with poor or poorer producers? Consider Mississippi, the poorest state in the Union. Their GDP per capita is estimated at $51,546 (current dollars of 2023), which is less than two-thirds the level for the whole country. The interesting point here is that Mississippi is poor compared to all other American states. According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average weekly wage in Mississippi in 2023 is $930, 45% lower than the $1,680 average weekly wage in California. If we could reliably measure it with constant customs and police surveillance at its frontiers, Mississippi would certainly show a large trade deficit with California, but who cares? Not the Mississippians who import iPhones from California (where most of the value in iPhones is produced).
If there is no problem with Mississippi’s trade deficit with California, what’s the problem with the trade deficit with Vietnam? Is it that the Vietnamese have not been born in Mississippi? That they have not moved to Mississippi? Californians do sell to Mississippians computers at lower prices than the computers that could be made locally in Mississippi. Is the problem that some mighty and crony American businesses (and their unions) are outcompeted, abused, and taken advantage of by relatively unproductive and poor people living 8,000 miles away?
The Christian God must not be proud of mankind, and not only because of its economic illiteracy.
******************************
READER COMMENTS
steve
Nov 22 2024 at 10:56am
I think that I am largely in agreement with you here, but if you want to convince people who dont read economics for fun I think you have to address the jobs issue and do it convincingly. Those wanting to stop/alter trade with China or Vietnam are convinced that all of the “good jobs” are gone because they got sent to China and Vietnam as a result of free trade. They have been convinced that they will have high paying jobs again like they (think they) had in the 50s and 60s if we alter that trade with tariffs, or something. What job loss they dont blame on China, Vietnam and others similar they blame on immigrants. They dont care much about people in Vietnam but they do care about themselves.
I realize fully that for what I think is probably the majority of those opposing free trade and supporting tariffs that its an emotional argument and not based upon facts but if you are going to try to reach those people I think you need to focus on their core concerns.
Steve
Pierre Lemieux
Nov 22 2024 at 3:35pm
Steve: Your comment raises an important issue and I think I don’t disagree with you either. I have written a number of Regulation articles and EconLog posts touching on the job issue. The post above was mainly trying to address the human decency issue and the fact that the Mississippians should also fall under (some) emotional attacks on free trade.
All these points are of course difficult to explain to people who are totally economically illiterate. Although this provides no immediate solution, James Buchanan wrote that, to maintain a free society, individuals must understand “simple principles of social interaction,” and that entails “a generalized understanding of basic economics.” Or else, Buchanan claims, they must show “a widespread willingness” to defer to others who do understand.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 11:08am
James Buchanan wrote that, to maintain a free society, individuals must understand “simple principles of social interaction,” and that entails “a generalized understanding of basic economics.
I do hope Buchanan was wrong on this. If a free society can not be maintained with a substancial political weight of the rural and the non-educated voters, we are doomed.
Pierre Lemieux
Nov 23 2024 at 12:02pm
Jose: That’s a troubling problem indeed.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 10:41am
the jobs issue
What jobs issue?! … the US has one of the lowest unemployment rates in the world. The American job market is a problem mostly to employers.
This is good example of the anti-foreigner bias camp. It’s position are mostly about “imagined / rethorical” (as opposed to real) problems.
Roger McKinney
Nov 22 2024 at 12:29pm
Few people can think in logical chains of more than two links according to Mises. It’s a variation on the broken window fallacy. That’s why most can’t see the benefits of free trade. They see trade as a zero sum game, like Monopoly or poker. Everyone must play by the same rules or they’re cheating!
Opposition to free trade is emotional and no amount of evidence will change it.
Pierre Lemieux
Nov 22 2024 at 3:40pm
Roger: You are probably right, but this proves how economic literacy is important. Perhaps, in this sense, liberalism is an act of faith in the future, as Buchanan believed.
Roger McKinney
Nov 23 2024 at 11:09am
Forgive me, but I’m pessimistic. Look how long it took to recover from the Smoot-Hawley tariff fiasco. I think it was about 1990 before world trade recovered.
MarkW
Nov 23 2024 at 9:39am
Opposition to free trade is emotional and no amount of evidence will change it.
But the level of opposition to free trade does wax and wane. And even now, relatively few people are willing come straight out and say that they are opposed to free trade — instead they say that they favor free trade! Of course they do! But only if it is fair. And then they impose conditions of ‘fairness’ that would undermine the principles and benefits of free trade. But still, it’s something that they recognize free trade as a positive — it would be worse if they thought international trade was a bad thing in general.
That said, I agree that we can expect relatively few people have both the capacity and willingness to take the trouble to understand the idea of comparative advantage, and then have that understanding be so secure that it would withstand both populist opposition and sophisticated demagoguery. I feel that, in a one-on-one situation, I could explain comparative advantage to just about anybody but that in most cases, that understanding would quickly dissipate as soon as they started taking again with their usual acquaintances and consuming information from their usual sources.
What IS persuasive? I’m afraid the answer will turn out to be: only direct negative personal experience — for example, seeing spikes in the prices of formerly inexpensive imported goods on Amazon or at stores like Target and Walmart
Pierre Lemieux
Nov 23 2024 at 12:13pm
Mark: Your comment is full of wisdom. Regarding your last paragraph, at least we can hope that “negative personal experience” will be correctly interpreted. In the forthcoming issue of Regulation (the Winter issue, out around December 15), I reflect on that issue, illustrated by H.L. Mencker’s famous aphorism that “democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.”
David Seltzer
Nov 22 2024 at 5:53pm
Pierre: I suspect economic literacy, like scientific inquiry, requires curiosity and a disinclination to believe without evidence. That pursuit is not for the faint of heart. Recently, a friend and MAGA devotee complained about trade deficits as our imports exceeded our exports. I made two points. Individuals import because the exporting country has a comparative advantage. The second point, the money they receive from trade comes back here when they buy our low interest debt and equity issues. He thought about it and, fair play to him, he was far less enthusiastic about Mr. Trump’s tariff threats.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 10:58am
Using trade deficits as an “objective function” to maximize something (let’s say individual wellfare) makes no sense whatsoever.
If you want to maximize wellfare use, for instance, GDP per capita (at PPP$ if you wish) as your objective function.
With this little common sense correction made, saying that a system that makes the average American $81,665 per year kind of rich and the average Chinese $24,558 a year kind of rich, favoured the Chinese “at the expense” of Americans, shows the lack of intelligence of the speaker and insults the intelligence of the listener.
Not choosing an irrelevant metric as “objective function” is always a good starting point in any endeavor of life.
To choosing GDP per capita instead of trade deficits as a measure of individual wellfare, you don’t even need to understand a word in economics.
David Seltzer
Nov 23 2024 at 11:48am
Geez Jose…chill dude. I was relating a response to a person who believed that trade deficits hurt the US. Why get into the weeds with him about optimization theory, linear and or non linear programming. If trade deficits hurt the trader, why trade at all?
José Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 1:09pm
Sorry David, I was in fact agreeing with you.
Not very successfully it seems
David Seltzer
Nov 23 2024 at 2:02pm
Jose, apologies. I Shouldn’t have been snippy. I always enjoy your comments. I learn from them.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 5:18pm
It was, no doubt, my fautl David. I was so much in agreement with your lesson to your MAGA friend that I got carried away.
In fact any measure that would just dissapear if we (humans) manage to build “Nation Earth” (like, for instance, trade deficits) has to be necesarily inferior to a measure that would still be all relevant even in that case (like, for instance, GDP per capita)
Mactoul
Nov 22 2024 at 9:27pm
If the economic theory of international trade takes no account of the term international then the people and their leaders may be justified in ignoring the pontifications of the economic theory.
One may confidently expect that no people will dissolve their nationhood merely because Buchanan has no place for political boundaries.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 11:03am
How is free trade equivalent to “dissolve their nationhood”?
(Which, by the way, would be a wonderful idea. Nations and religion are human atavisms whose superation is long overdue. They have cause more than enough damage by now)
Mactoul
Nov 24 2024 at 11:27pm
Comparing nations to groups such as engineers is precisely dissolving the nationhood.
Jose Pablo
Nov 25 2024 at 12:11pm
No. I read Pierre there as wondering what are, if any, the relevant differences between the engineers and butchers “groups” and the American and Vietnamese “groups” that made trade so beneficial to the first pair of “groups” but negative to the “second”. It is a pertinent, relevant question.
That doesn’t mean that there are no differences between the two different kind of groups. There are many. Some of them obvious.
What is difficult to see is how these differences affect the fact that “groups” greatly benefits from trading to each other. It is clear for the “engineers” and “butchers” groups. It should also be crystal clear for the “American” and “Vietnamese” groups.
That doesn’t mean that there are no differences between being an American an being a butcher. There are many.
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 10:46am
That the country most favored by the “not so free trade” status quo (as proof the fact that it is the richest and its doing better than any other advanced economy) wants to change this very same status quo that made them so rich in the first place, can only be understood as proof of pure and sheer stupidity.
Not surprising coming from Trump, but still appalling.
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2024/10/14/american-productivity-still-leads-the-world
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2024/10/14/american-productivity-still-leads-the-world
Jose Pablo
Nov 23 2024 at 5:10pm
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2024/10/14/the-american-economy-has-left-other-rich-countries-in-the-dust
that was intended as the second link