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Scott Sumner

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Scott Sumner

You May Not Care About War . . .

Dec 30 2023

Scott Sumner

Tyler Cowen on Recent Fed Policy

Dec 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Two Types of Forecasting Errors

Dec 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Nemo judex in causa sua

Dec 25 2023

Scott Sumner

The New McCarthyism

Dec 23 2023

Scott Sumner

The Global Distribution of AI Talent

Dec 21 2023

Scott Sumner

Delete Fiscal Policy from Macro

Dec 19 2023

Scott Sumner

Why Not Fiscal Policy?

Dec 17 2023

Scott Sumner

What Kind of Driver Are You?

Dec 15 2023

Scott Sumner

A Very Good Question

Dec 13 2023

Scott Sumner

What Should We Expect from Forward Guidance?

Dec 12 2023

Scott Sumner

Were the 1960s a "Tightening Episode"?

Dec 11 2023

Scott Sumner

Karl Smith on Monetary Policy Puzzles

Dec 9 2023

Scott Sumner

Productivity Puzzles

Dec 6 2023

Scott Sumner

How Important are "The Issues"?

Dec 5 2023

Scott Sumner

Drug War Propaganda

Dec 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Should Mexico Attack the USA?

Nov 30 2023

Scott Sumner

The Wittgenstein Test

Nov 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Harrison Bergeron in the Skies

Nov 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Would Trump Make Inflation Worse?

Nov 24 2023

Scott Sumner

Things That Didn't Cause the Great Depression

Nov 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Dollarization for Argentina?

Nov 20 2023

Scott Sumner

The Open Society and its Enemies

Nov 18 2023

Scott Sumner

Do the Banks Pay FDIC Fees?

Nov 16 2023

Scott Sumner

Libertarianism and Free Will

Nov 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Applying Arnold Kling's Three Languages of Politics

Nov 12 2023

Scott Sumner

Relative Prices in China

Nov 10 2023

Scott Sumner

The Grasshoppers are Coming for your Savings

Nov 8 2023

Scott Sumner

China's Best Province

Nov 6 2023

Scott Sumner

Reporters Don't Write Headlines

Nov 4 2023

Scott Sumner

Old Calabria: The Benefits of Emigration

Nov 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Don't Confuse Supply with Quantity Supplied

Oct 31 2023

Scott Sumner

The death of Li Keqiang

Oct 31 2023

Scott Sumner

Is Currency Forced into Circulation?

Oct 29 2023

Scott Sumner

Commenter Jeff on FAIT

Oct 27 2023

Scott Sumner

Crime and Punishment

Oct 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Demographics are Not Japan's Problem

Oct 23 2023

Scott Sumner

Markets and Zoning

Oct 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Don’t Predict Problems---Prevent Them

Oct 19 2023

Scott Sumner

Competition in the 21st Century

Oct 17 2023

Scott Sumner

Richard Clarida on What Went Wrong

Oct 16 2023

Scott Sumner

Yglesias on Industrial Policy

Oct 12 2023

Scott Sumner

The Elasticity of Supply of Homeless People

Oct 10 2023

Scott Sumner

Regulation Favors the Elites

Oct 8 2023

Scott Sumner

Never Reason from a Quantity Change

Oct 6 2023

Scott Sumner

Taiwan and Montesquieu

Oct 5 2023

Scott Sumner

Some questions for Bloomberg

Oct 3 2023

Scott Sumner

The Zero Sum Death Spiral

Oct 1 2023

Scott Sumner

What's Wrong with Macro?

Sep 29 2023

Scott Sumner

Macroeconomics at 100

Sep 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Out-of-Sample Failures

Sep 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Why so sad?

Sep 24 2023

Scott Sumner

Economics is Really Hard

Sep 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Socializing Risk

Sep 20 2023

Scott Sumner

Can supply and demand explain inflation?

Sep 18 2023

Scott Sumner

Nationalism and Corruption

Sep 16 2023

Scott Sumner

The challenge facing YIMBYs

Sep 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Emergent Tokyo

Sep 12 2023

Scott Sumner

The real problem is nominal (wages)

Sep 10 2023

Scott Sumner

Should we root for poverty?

Sep 8 2023

Scott Sumner

A comment on Jordà, Singh, and Taylor

Sep 6 2023

Scott Sumner

Now they see the problem

Sep 4 2023

Scott Sumner

The confusing China debate

Sep 3 2023

Scott Sumner

Do we incarcerate too many or too few?

Aug 31 2023

Scott Sumner

Non-obvious correlations

Aug 29 2023

Scott Sumner

Avoid trendy economics

Aug 27 2023

Scott Sumner

Everything is correlated

Aug 25 2023

Scott Sumner

Demographic anxiety

Aug 23 2023

Scott Sumner

The government doesn't feel your pain

Aug 21 2023

Scott Sumner

The Laffer curve for incarceration

Aug 20 2023

Scott Sumner

AI control and monetary policy

Aug 17 2023

Scott Sumner

Did Argentina's unemployment rate fall last night?

Aug 15 2023

Scott Sumner

Fertile ground for libertarianism?

Aug 14 2023

Scott Sumner

How do barter economies avoid inflation?

Aug 13 2023

Scott Sumner

99 lead balloons

Aug 11 2023

Scott Sumner

A tale of twin cities

Aug 9 2023

Scott Sumner

Ricardo Reis on the Phillips curve

Aug 7 2023

Scott Sumner

The actual Phillips curve

Aug 4 2023

Scott Sumner

The new left/right axis

Aug 3 2023

Scott Sumner

Rich like Asians, homeless like Latinos

Aug 1 2023

Scott Sumner

What goes around comes around

Jul 30 2023

Scott Sumner

Cochrane on nominal GDP targeting

Jul 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Leftists and trust fund kids

Jul 25 2023

Scott Sumner

Strategic ambiguity?

Jul 24 2023

Scott Sumner

Singa-Dubai

Jul 22 2023

Scott Sumner

The unintended consequences of nationalism

Jul 20 2023

Scott Sumner

Monetary policy and wages

Jul 18 2023

Scott Sumner

Would drug legalization increase overdose fatalities?

Jul 16 2023

Scott Sumner

The Fed doesn't fight inflation

Jul 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Do sanctions work?

Jul 12 2023

Scott Sumner

Density and congestion

Jul 10 2023

Scott Sumner

Is the job market "healthy"?

Jul 9 2023

Scott Sumner

The reactionary impulse

Jul 7 2023

Scott Sumner

Has higher education been fixed?

Jul 5 2023

Scott Sumner

When confused, re-evaluate your model

Jul 4 2023

Scott Sumner

A tale of two suburbs

Jul 2 2023

Scott Sumner

National agoraphobia

Jun 30 2023

Scott Sumner

Weight gain and price gain

Jun 28 2023

Scott Sumner

There is no solid ground in politics

Jun 27 2023

Scott Sumner

Scientists, Pundits, and the Origin of COVID-19

Jun 25 2023

Scott Sumner

Journalistic clichés

Jun 23 2023

Scott Sumner

Was Arthur Burns a bad Fed chair?

Jun 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Housing and Immigration

Jun 19 2023

Scott Sumner

America's Most Bipartisan Issue

Jun 19 2023

Scott Sumner

Dumb Ideas

Jun 16 2023

Scott Sumner

Leave us alone

Jun 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Financial Problems are Endogenous

Jun 13 2023

Scott Sumner

A Rising Tide Lifts Yachts and Rowboats

Jun 11 2023

Scott Sumner

The Wolf is Getting Closer

Jun 9 2023

Scott Sumner

A Target Band for Inflation?

Jun 7 2023

Scott Sumner

Robert Hetzel's History of the Fed

Jun 5 2023

Scott Sumner

Beware of Foolproof Recession Indicators

Jun 3 2023

Scott Sumner

California has Money to Burn

Jun 1 2023

Scott Sumner

The Fed Must Offset Fiscal Policy

May 30 2023

Scott Sumner

Is World War III inevitable?

May 29 2023

Scott Sumner

Friday night football

May 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Furman and Bernanke on NGDP as an indicator

May 25 2023

Scott Sumner

On the uncertainty of our judgement

May 23 2023

Scott Sumner

Cochrane on rational expectations

May 21 2023

Scott Sumner

One area where the US leads the world

May 19 2023

Scott Sumner

A single Fed mandate?

May 17 2023

Scott Sumner

An idealistic economist

May 17 2023

Scott Sumner

Getting Back on Track (A Steph Curry Fed)

May 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Correlation, causation, and big changes

May 12 2023

Scott Sumner

Scott Alexander is still (probably) wrong

May 10 2023

Scott Sumner

Noah Smith's Pessimistic Vision

May 8 2023

Scott Sumner

What current macro puzzle?

May 7 2023

Scott Sumner

Why is demand so strong?

May 5 2023

Scott Sumner

About that 2022 "Recession"

May 3 2023

Scott Sumner

Why Scott Alexander is Wrong

May 1 2023

Scott Sumner

The cost of economic nationalism

Apr 30 2023

Scott Sumner

The virtue of patience

Apr 29 2023

Scott Sumner

Coasean economics in Irvine

Apr 27 2023

Scott Sumner

Rising prices and falling output

Apr 24 2023

Scott Sumner

Leftists and liars

Apr 23 2023

Scott Sumner

Millionaires prefer . . .

Apr 20 2023

Scott Sumner

The Fed as social psychologist

Apr 18 2023

Scott Sumner

The cost of giving in to blackmail

Apr 16 2023

Scott Sumner

Taiwan, the ROC, and Super Bowl XXXII

Apr 13 2023

Scott Sumner

Greenspan on NGDP targeting

Apr 12 2023

Scott Sumner

Profit margins and inflation

Apr 10 2023

Scott Sumner

Alternative Approaches to Monetary Policy

Apr 6 2023

Scott Sumner

FDIC and small banks

Apr 4 2023

Scott Sumner

Am I a "liquidationist"?

Apr 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Josh Hendrickson on the (other) alignment problem

Mar 30 2023

Scott Sumner

The return of industrial policies

Mar 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Do banks create money?

Mar 25 2023

Scott Sumner

A tale of two banks

Mar 23 2023

Scott Sumner

The bigger bailout

Mar 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Did the Fed cause the banking crisis?

Mar 20 2023

Scott Sumner

Lyn Alden on Bank Safety

Mar 18 2023

Scott Sumner

The wrong way to think about moral hazard

Mar 15 2023

Scott Sumner

Time inconsistency in bank regulation

Mar 13 2023

Scott Sumner

Promises, promises

Mar 13 2023

Scott Sumner

"Bank management must be investigated"

Mar 11 2023

Scott Sumner

Silver linings from inflation?

Mar 9 2023

Scott Sumner

Strange rebels

Mar 7 2023

Scott Sumner

QE and low inflation are not alternatives

Mar 5 2023

Scott Sumner

Fine for parking?

Mar 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Uncomfortable truths

Feb 28 2023

Scott Sumner

The southwestern US has plenty of water

Feb 26 2023

Scott Sumner

Poverty is crowded

Feb 24 2023

Scott Sumner

Some thoughts on progress, freedom, and happiness

Feb 22 2023

Scott Sumner

The internal contradictions of progressivism

Feb 20 2023

Scott Sumner

Arms are fungible

Feb 19 2023

Scott Sumner

Do elections have consequences?

Feb 16 2023

Scott Sumner

Correlation and causation

Feb 15 2023

Scott Sumner

Dutch housing shortage (TLDR)

Feb 13 2023

Scott Sumner

Natural resources are overrated

Feb 11 2023

Scott Sumner

Nationalism is a negative sum game

Feb 9 2023

Scott Sumner

Inconvenient views

Feb 7 2023

Scott Sumner

A Chat on supply and demand

Feb 5 2023

Scott Sumner

About that employment-population ratio

Feb 3 2023

Scott Sumner

(Almost) nobody gets macro

Feb 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Fortunately, this isn't the Volcker disinflation

Jan 31 2023

Scott Sumner

What if new housing does not reduce housing prices?

Jan 30 2023

Scott Sumner

Update your priors

Jan 28 2023

Scott Sumner

Time for Some Soul Searching

Jan 26 2023

Scott Sumner

If things are going well

Jan 25 2023

Scott Sumner

Feudalism in America

Jan 23 2023

Scott Sumner

Zoning and "malinvestment"

Jan 22 2023

Scott Sumner

Should we become entangled with our adversaries?

Jan 21 2023

Scott Sumner

On reconsideration, Arthur Burns was still a bad Fed chair

Jan 18 2023

Scott Sumner

How to succeed without really trying

Jan 16 2023

Scott Sumner

My 2021 mistake

Jan 14 2023

Scott Sumner

Good news on inflation

Jan 12 2023

Scott Sumner

The Decline of Growth

Jan 11 2023

Scott Sumner

Nationalism is Bad for Your Health

Jan 9 2023

Scott Sumner

Reputation Bubbles, Crime, and the EMH

Jan 8 2023

Scott Sumner

Is Rapid Job Growth a Good Thing?

Jan 6 2023

Scott Sumner

Garett Jones on Culture and Migration

Jan 4 2023

Scott Sumner

Minor changes with major effects

Jan 2 2023

Scott Sumner

Bennett McCallum, RIP

Jan 2 2023